Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 19

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas (Juticalpa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV


	Olancho		Victoria La Ceiba

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.7	9.6
	1.21	5.59	9.32
	1.24	5.93	10.39	Watch
	1.2	5.75	10
	1.19	5.55	12.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.31)	5.7 ↑ (4.75)	10.44 ↑ (7.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olancho
75.3%

Draw
16%

Victoria La Ceiba
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

19.1%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.2%

18.1%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olancho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olancho's performance.

Victoria La Ceiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria La Ceiba than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Olancho - Victoria La Ceiba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Argueta G. (G) 2. Almendarez O. (C) 14. Argueta C. 20. Cabrera Y. A. 24. Elvir O. 3. Lasso J. 10. Leiva G. 12. Mejia Y. 26. Perea G. 30. Ramirez Arauz M. R. 9. Sanchez J.	1. Flores E. (G) 5. Banegas A. (C) 3. Barrios O. 48. Card S. 33. Garcia J. 52. Hernandez A. 19. Lahera Y. 6. Matute C. 4. Oliva E. 16. Portillo A. 24. Sanchez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Almendarez O. 🟨,
17', Almendarez O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Leiva G. ↓, Gomez H. ↑,
46', Ramirez Arauz M. R. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
46', Portillo A. ↓, Kelly K. ↑,
46', Garcia J. ↓, Ramirez L. ↑,
63', Sanchez J. 🟨,
64', Kelly K. 🟨,
65', Sanchez J. ↓, Zuniga Bernardez C. J. ↑,
68', Ramirez Arauz M. R. 🟨,
72', Cabrera Y. A. ↓, Lopez K. ↑,
88', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olancho won 1.

Olancho is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Victoria La Ceiba has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Olancho may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Olancho has had a series of away games.

In this match, Olancho is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Olancho won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Olancho won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 2:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Olancho	8	2	5	1	6:5	1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olancho FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
12.04.26	CD Marathón - Olancho	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	Juticalpa - Olancho	0:4 ✺
04.04.26	Olancho - Choloma	3:1 ✺
23.03.26	Lobos UPNFM - Olancho	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Olancho	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWLT
- Victoria La Ceiba
Honduras Liga Nacional
16.04.26	Victoria La Ceiba - Motagua	1:1
13.04.26	Victoria La Ceiba - Choloma	2:5 ✺
08.04.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Victoria La Ceiba	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Victoria La Ceiba - Lobos UPNFM	3:2 ✺
22.03.26	CD Marathón - Victoria La Ceiba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
24.02.26	Victoria La Ceiba - Olancho	2:1
04.10.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Olancho	2:2
27.07.25	Olancho - Victoria La Ceiba	3:0
05.03.25	Olancho - Victoria La Ceiba	0:2
18.01.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Olancho	1:1
10.11.24	Olancho - Victoria La Ceiba	3:0
15.09.24	Victoria La Ceiba - Olancho	3:2

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