Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 17

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas (Juticalpa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV


	Juticalpa		Olancho

	1	X	2
	4.45	3.7	1.62
	7.02	5.08	1.29
	6.29	4.85	1.42	Watch
	7	4.6	1.33
	6.31	4.92	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.21 ↑ (4.47)	4.63 ↑ (3.74)	1.41 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Juticalpa
14.8%

Draw
19.9%

Olancho
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

24.2%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

23.3%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juticalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juticalpa's form might have worsened.

Olancho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olancho's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juticalpa than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olancho, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Juticalpa - Olancho Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Juticalpa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Olancho will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25, 1st Half - Olancho (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Olancho (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Torres D. (C) 14. Altamirano C. 51. Bernardez K. 10. Canales M. 12. Casildo L. 23. Castellanos H. 33. Galindo A. 6. Garcia J. 20. Gonzalez R. 19. Ilan 34. Ledesma D.	1. Fonseca H. (G) 2. Almendarez O. (C) 14. Argueta C. 20. Cabrera Y. A. 24. Elvir O. 8. Gomez H. 34. Lopez K. 12. Mejia Y. 33. Munoz N. 26. Perea G. 9. Sanchez J.
Substitutes
35. Facusse E. (G) 7. Fajardo A. 15. Gaboriell N. 28. Gomez A. 16. Gutierrez Vargas Y. N. 11. Hurtado L. 4. Matute K. 25. Mendoza D. 38. Rodriguez R. 9. Villafranca J.	29. Argueta G. (G) 17. Benitez E. 11. Calix C. 23. Delgado J. 3. Lasso J. 10. Leiva G. 5. Martinez D. 19. Martinez G. 27. Murillo D. 30. Ramirez Arauz M. R. 7. Rodriguez D. 21. Zuniga Bernardez C. J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
9', Ilan 🟥,
14', 0 - 1, Sanchez J. ⚽,
16', 0 - 2, Lopez K. ⚽,
17', Ledesma D. ↓, Hurtado L. ↑,
24', 0 - 3, Argueta C. ⚽,
37', 0 - 4, Lopez K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Munoz N. ↓, Benitez E. ↑,
46', Argueta C. ↓, Murillo D. ↑,
46', Perea G. ↓, Lasso J. ↑,
46', Canales M. ↓, Matute K. ↑,
46', Casildo L. ↓, Mendoza D. ↑,
46', Gonzalez R. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
46', Garcia J. ↓, Gaboriell N. ↑,
66', Lopez K. ↓, Calix C. ↑,
73', Elvir O. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juticalpa won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Juticalpa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Olancho is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Juticalpa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Juticalpa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Olancho	8	2	5	1	6:5	1	11
11	Juticalpa	8	2	0	6	8:19	-11	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juticalpa FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
06.04.26	Real España - Juticalpa	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	Génesis PN - Juticalpa	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Juticalpa - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:6 ✺
18.03.26	Juticalpa - CD Marathón	0:4 ✺
14.03.26	Choloma - Juticalpa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 TWLLT
- Olancho FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
04.04.26	Olancho - Choloma	3:1 ✺
23.03.26	Lobos UPNFM - Olancho	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Olancho	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Olancho - Real España	3:0 ✺
11.03.26	Génesis PN - Olancho	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
14.02.26	Olancho - Juticalpa	4:1
16.10.25	Olancho - Juticalpa	0:1
02.08.25	Juticalpa - Olancho	1:1
20.04.25	Juticalpa - Olancho	0:1
16.02.25	Olancho - Juticalpa	1:1
29.09.24	Juticalpa - Olancho	0:1
28.07.24	Olancho - Juticalpa	0:1

Upcoming Matches