Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 7

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Party-Rent-Arena (Rosport)


	Victoria Rosport		Mamer

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.35	3.1
	2.12	3.45	3.22
	1.69	3.76	4.47	Watch
	2.04	3.34	3.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.19)	3.48 ↑ (3.47)	3.51 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoria Rosport
46.9%

Draw
26.7%

Mamer
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

26.4%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

25.2%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoria Rosport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Mamer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mamer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria Rosport than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamer than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Victoria Rosport - Mamer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Burger N. (G) 10. Arslan M. 25. Baudry C. 4. Bechtold M. 2. Faldey J. 77. Ferreira A. 17. Jusic J. 9. Kyereh F. 27. Steinbach J. 19. Trombini S. 13. Vogel B. (C)	33. Schreiber M. (G) 17. Baillet B. 54. Biagui Y. 5. Erragui R. 4. Freire N. 11. Jager M. (C) 97. Montout L. 28. Schmit B. 10. Teles I. 6. Vialette H. 18. Zilli Q.
Substitutes
80. Camdzic A. 11. Goncalves S. 14. Ho-A-Tham Z. 99. Jiang B. (G) 6. Rodrigues Fernandes G. 78. Skuka D. 8. Sousa R.	29. da Costa Batista D. 49. Kerger K. 27. Maurice J. 20. Mendes Y. 9. Muric D. 1. Rao A. (G) 99. Rapaille L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Kyereh F. ⚽, Ferreira A. (A),
28', Trombini S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Zilli Q. ↓, Muric D. ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Bechtold M. ⚽,
67', Baillet B. ↓, Rapaille L. ↑,
67', Biagui Y. ↓, Mendes Y. ↑,
69', Ferreira A. 🟥,
71', Arslan M. ↓, Rodrigues Fernandes G. ↑,
71', Kyereh F. ↓, Camdzic A. ↑,
73', Montout L. ↓, Maurice J. ↑,
73', Erragui R. ↓, Kerger K. ↑,
84', Mendes Y. 🟨,
89', Trombini S. ↓, Ho-A-Tham Z. ↑,
90+1', Muric D. 🟨,
90+6', 3 - 0, Ho-A-Tham Z. ⚽, Steinbach J. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 12).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Victoria Rosport
Luxembourg National Division
28.09.25	Racing Luxembourg - Victoria Rosport	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Atert Bissen - Victoria Rosport	5:0 ✺
31.08.25	Victoria Rosport - Käerjéng 97	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Victoria Rosport	0:1 ✺
17.08.25	Victoria Rosport - UNA Strassen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 LLWWT
- FC Mamer 32
Luxembourg National Division
28.09.25	Mamer - Pétange	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Mamer - Swift Hesperange	1:2 ✺
03.09.25	Mamer - Differdange 03	1:4 ✺
24.08.25	Mamer - F91 Dudelange	1:2 ✺
17.08.25	Jeunesse Esch - Mamer	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLLLW

Victoria Rosport - Mamer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide