Match Info

Date: 25 August 2022, Thursday

Location: MOL Arena Sosto (Székesfehérvár)

Referee: Palabiyik A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Slovenia	Sport TV


	Videoton		Köln

	1	X	2
	8	5.5	1.33
	7.25	5.25	1.36
	7.5	5.5	1.36
	6.95	5.2	1.38
	6.97	5.36	1.39
				Watch
	7.3	5.2	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.33 ↑ (6.24)	5.34 ↑ (3.86)	1.36 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Videoton
12.9%

Draw
17.7%

Köln
69.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.9%

24%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

26.9%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Videoton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Köln's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Videoton than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.9%	5.4%	76.8%

Videoton - Köln Predictions

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Videoton will win (votes: 10 - 17.9%). Köln will win (votes: 43 - 76.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 5.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Köln: 65.7% – 87.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Fehérvár is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Köln is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Köln could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Köln is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fehérvár won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Videoton FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.08.22	Köln - Videoton	1:2 ✺
Hungarian NB I
14.08.22	Ferencvárosi - Videoton	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.08.22	Petrocub-Hîncești - Videoton	1:2 ✺
Hungarian NB I
07.08.22	Videoton - Budapest Honved	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
04.08.22	Videoton - Petrocub-Hîncești	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WLWWW
- 1. FC Köln
German Bundesliga
21.08.22	Eintracht Frankfurt - Köln	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.08.22	Köln - Videoton	1:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
13.08.22	RB Leipzig - Köln	2:2 ✺
07.08.22	Köln - Schalke 04	3:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
30.07.22	Jahn Regensburg - Köln	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
18.08.22	Köln - Videoton	1:2

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