Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 24

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	L Aquila		Maceratese

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.35	4.25
	1.74	3.5	4.32	Watch
	1.7	3.44	4.49
	1.76	3.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.78)	3.42 ↓ (3.53)	4.32 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

L Aquila
52.5%

Draw
26.5%

Maceratese
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

25.7%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

24.7%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

L Aquila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Maceratese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for L Aquila than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maceratese than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

L Aquila - Maceratese Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 10).

Recent performances by L Aquila have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Maceratese is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, L Aquila is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, L Aquila won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, L Aquila won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	L Aquila	6	4	2	0	12:2	10	14
13	Maceratese	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- L Aquila Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
08.02.26	UniPomezia - L Aquila	3:1 ✺
01.02.26	L Aquila - Chieti	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Recanatese - L Aquila	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	L Aquila - Castelfidardo	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	San Marino Calcio - L Aquila	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTWTW
- SS Maceratese
Italian Serie D - Group F
08.02.26	Maceratese - Teramo	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Sammaurese - Maceratese	0:4 ✺
25.01.26	Maceratese - Sora	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Fossombrone - Maceratese	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Maceratese - Ostia Mare	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
12.10.25	Maceratese - L Aquila	2:1
Italian Serie C Group B
03.04.16	L Aquila - Maceratese	1:1
21.11.15	Maceratese - L Aquila	1:1

L Aquila - Maceratese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide