Match Info

ESTONIA: ESTONIAN CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Viimsi JK		Narva Trans

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.9	1.53
	5.15	3.85	1.52
	4.75	4.09	1.62
	4.05	4.09	1.63
	5	4	1.44
	4.75	4	1.56
	5	4.1	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.79 ↑ (3.18)	4 ↑ (3.68)	1.55 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viimsi JK
18.9%

Draw
22.6%

Narva Trans
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

24.7%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

23.1%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viimsi JK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Viimsi JK's form might have worsened.

Narva Trans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Narva Trans's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viimsi JK than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Viimsi JK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Narva Trans than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Narva Trans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Viimsi JK - Narva Trans Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Viimsi JK will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Narva Trans will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Armas R. (G) 35. Ollik O. 20. Laidvee R. 3. Jalle M. 19. Ojamets A. 47. Jurimae M. 8. Kaljuvere K. (C) 7. Kore J. 42. Magi O. 9. Lehtmets G. 16. Tovstik S.	88. Matrossov A. (G) 23. Jegorov A. 5. Kulinits A. 21. Maksimkin M. 27. Nikolajev A. 10. Mbu-Alidor R. 77. Polyakov D. (C) 8. Suarez H. 7. Tarassenkov D. 9. Koskor T. 11. Pevtsov G.
Substitutes
2. Jogi O. 23. Kala R. 96. Kollist J. T. 28. Krimm N. 38. Luts J. 10. Toomet J. 77. Vahe R. 24. Vaks O. 1. Vigla G. (G)	36. Bahval P. 25. Kraizmer A. (G) 29. Kudryashov V. 2. Shantenkov V. 3. Sibul D. 14. Stepanov A. 24. Volkov A.

Preview

Recent matches Viimsi JK is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Narva Trans is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Narva Trans is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viimsi JK
Estonian Esiliiga
12.11.23	Viimsi JK - FC Tallinn	1:3 ✺
05.11.23	Paide U21 - Viimsi JK	3:1 ✺
02.11.23	Viimsi JK - Flora U21	3:2 ✺
29.10.23	Viimsi JK - Levadia Tallinn U21	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Tabasalu - Viimsi JK	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWW
- Narva Trans
Estonian Meistriliiga
11.11.23	Tallinna Kalev - Narva Trans	5:0 ✺
04.11.23	Narva Trans - Paide LM	1:3 ✺
01.11.23	Narva Trans - Flora Tallinn	1:3 ✺
28.10.23	Kuressaare - Narva Trans	1:0 ✺
21.10.23	Narva Trans - Nõmme Kalju	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLLW

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