Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Víkingsvöllur (Reykjavík)

Referee: Karaoglan A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay


	Vikingur Reykjavik		Brøndby

	1	X	2
	4.75	4	1.57	Watch
	4	3.9	1.7
	4.7	3.7	1.65	Watch
	5.29	4.05	1.64
	3.74	3.26	2.02	Watch
	5.16	4.03	1.67	Watch
	6.33	4.75	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.85 ↓ (6.33)	3.96 ↓ (4.75)	1.66 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vikingur Reykjavik
19.4%

Draw
23.8%

Brøndby
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.3%

19.1%

66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.8%

18.4%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vikingur Reykjavik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vikingur Reykjavik's performance.

Brøndby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brøndby might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vikingur Reykjavik than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vikingur Reykjavik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brøndby than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brøndby could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	7%	77.2%

Vikingur Reykjavik - Brøndby Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Vikingur (2.00) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH 0 - Vikingur (3.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Vikingur (3.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Brøndby will win (43 of 55 users predict this - 78.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.26% – 89.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brøndby will win (28 of 35 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 40 Selected Experts predict this event. Vikingur (votes: 10 - 25%). Brøndby (votes: 28 - 70%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Arinbjornsson P. (G) 22. Gunnarsson K. 15. Thorkelsson R. 4. Ekroth O. (C) 20. Ibrahimagic T. 7. Agnarsson E. 32. Sigurdsson G. 11. Hafsteinsson D. 25. Ingimundarson V. 23. Hansen N. 9. Gudjonsson H.	1. Pentz P. (G) 31. Klaiber S. 5. Lauritsen R. 4. Binks L. 2. Villadsen O. 10. Wass D. (C) 35. Nartey N. 27. Kohlert M. 7. Vallys N. 18. Uchino K. 37. Bischoff C.
Substitutes
8. Andrason V. 24. Atlason D. 19. Borgthorsson O. 36. Brynjarsson H. 17. Jonasson A. 1. Jonsson I. (G) 35. Magnusson J. (G) 10. Punyed P. 34. Sverrisson V. 77. Thordarson S. 2. Thorkelsson S.	38. Ambaek J. 13. Beavers G. (G) 11. Bundgaard F. 17. Che J. 24. Divkovic M. 19. Fukuda S. 42. Jensen M. 16. Mikkelsen T. (G) 6. Spierings S. 8. Tahirovic B. 30. Vanlerberghe J.
Coaches
Ottesen S.	Birk F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Hansen N. ⚽, Sigurdsson G. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Uchino K. ↓, Bundgaard F. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Ekroth O. ⚽, Sigurdsson G. (A),
63', Hansen N. ↓, Borgthorsson O. ↑,
65', Nartey N. 🟨,
66', Kohlert M. ↓, Divkovic M. ↑,
73', Villadsen O. ↓, Tahirovic B. ↑,
73', Binks L. ↓, Vanlerberghe J. ↑,
79', Gunnarsson K. 🟨,
79', Ingimundarson V. ↓, Thorkelsson S. ↑,
79', Hafsteinsson D. ↓, Andrason V. ↑,
82', 3 - 0, Andrason V. ⚽,
83', Bischoff C. ↓, Ambaek J. ↑,
84', Divkovic M. 🟨,
89', Gunnarsson K. ↓, Punyed P. ↑,
89', Gudjonsson H. ↓, Jonasson A. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Vikingur has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Brøndby is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Brøndby is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vikingur Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
03.08.25	FH Hafnarfjordur - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Vikingur Reykjavik - Vllaznia Shkodër	4:2 ET ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
27.07.25	Fram - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Vllaznia Shkodër - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:1 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
20.07.25	Vikingur Reykjavik - Valur	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TWTLL
- Brøndby IF
Danish Superliga
03.08.25	Brøndby - Viborg	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Brøndby - HB Tórshavn	1:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
27.07.25	Nordsjælland - Brøndby	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	HB Tórshavn - Brøndby	1:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
20.07.25	Brøndby - Silkeborg IF	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWTW

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