Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: Víkingsvöllur (Reykjavík)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland
Israel	Sport 1
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV


	Vikingur Reykjavik		Hapoel Beer Sheva

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.50	2.55	Watch
	2.40	3.60	2.75
	2.43	3.45	2.63
	2.42	3.55	2.84
	2.23	3.53	3.01	Watch
	2.35	3.40	2.75
	2.43	3.70	2.70	Watch
	2.38	3.60	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.26)	3.54 ↑ (3.4)	2.75 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vikingur Reykjavik
39.5%

Draw
26.4%

Hapoel Beer Sheva
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

27.3%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

26.2%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vikingur Reykjavik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Hapoel Beer Sheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vikingur Reykjavik than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Beer Sheva than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.2%	16.1%	38.7%

Vikingur Reykjavik - Hapoel Beer Sheva Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Vikingur will win (votes: 14 - 46.7%). Hapoel Beer Sheva will win (votes: 11 - 36.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vikingur: 28.8% – 64.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Beer Sheva (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Fridriksson A. (G) 22. Gunnarsson K. 4. Ekroth O. (C) 6. Vatnhamar G. 9. Gudjonsson H. 10. Sigurdsson G. 25. Ingimundarson V. 11. Hafsteinsson D. 19. Borgthorsson O. 23. Hansen N. 21. Thrandarson A.	1. Marciano O. (G) 2. Mizrahi G. 4. Miguel Vitor (C) 44. Diop D. T. 13. Davidzada O. 17. Kangwa K. 25. Lucas Ventura 28. Yehoshua N. 45. Abu Rumi M. 66. Zlatanovic I. 11. Ganah A. C.
Substitutes
7. Agnarsson E. 8. Andrason V. 24. Atlason D. 69. Finnbogason A. 30. Hauksson S. 20. Ibrahimagic T. 35. Ingolfsson T. 18. Jonsson D. 47. Kristinsson O. (G) 77. Thordarson S. 15. Thorkelsson R. 2. Thorkelsson S.	9. Ahmed Z. 20. East J. 23. Hazut I. 8. Kanaan H. 21. Koren Y. 18. Levy R. 19. Ohana A. 7. Peretz E. 12. Rotman I. 27. Stoyanov Y. 34. Wolff M. (G)
Coaches
Ottesen S.	Kozuch R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Kangwa K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Hansen N. ⚽, Ekroth O. (A),
51', 1 - 1, Kangwa K. ⚽, Zlatanovic I. (A),
63', Miguel Vitor 🟨,
63', Ganah A. C. ↓, Ahmed Z. ↑,
71', Kangwa K. ↓, Peretz E. ↑,
71', Abu Rumi M. ↓, East J. ↑,
76', Ingimundarson V. 🟨,
76', Thrandarson A. ↓, Andrason V. ↑,
76', Vatnhamar G. ↓, Thorkelsson S. ↑,
77', Hafsteinsson D. ↓, Jonsson D. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Hansen N. ⚽, Borgthorsson O. (A),
89', Miguel Vitor ↓, Rotman I. ↑,
89', Zlatanovic I. ↓, Ohana A. ↑,
90+2', Hansen N. ↓, Thordarson S. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Vikingur has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hapoel Beer Sheva is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hapoel Beer Sheva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vikingur Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
18.07.26	Thor Akureyri - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.07.26	Győri ETO - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:2 ✺
07.07.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - Győri ETO	1:0 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
02.07.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - KA Akureyri	3:2 ✺
Icelandic Cup
28.06.26	Breiðablik - Vikingur Reykjavik	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LTWWL
- Hapoel Beer Sheva
Israeli Super Cup
16.07.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
07.07.26	Legia Warsaw - Hapoel Beer Sheva	3:1 ✺
05.07.26	Omonia - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2:2 ✺
01.07.26	Radomiak Radom - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2:3 ✺
Israeli State Cup
26.05.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTWL

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