Match Info

Date: 4 August 2022, Thursday

Location: Víkingsvöllur (Reykjavík)

Referee: Xhaja J. (Alb)


	Vikingur Reykjavik		Lech Poznań

	1	X	2
	4	4.2	1.7
	4.4	4	1.68
	5.25	3.7	1.65
	4.2	4	1.71
	4.64	4.17	1.68
	4.4	3.98	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↑ (4.19)	4.01 ↑ (3.57)	1.68 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vikingur Reykjavik
20.9%

Draw
23.4%

Lech Poznań
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

26.1%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

27.1%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vikingur Reykjavik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vikingur Reykjavik than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	11.4%	70.5%

Vikingur Reykjavik - Lech Poznań Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Vikingur will win (votes: 8 - 18.2%). Lech will win (votes: 31 - 70.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 57% – 84%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

1st leg.

Vikingur is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lech is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lech could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lech is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vikingur Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
30.07.22	Stjarnan - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.07.22	The New Saints - Vikingur Reykjavik	0:0 ✺
21.07.22	Vikingur Reykjavik - The New Saints	2:0 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
16.07.22	FH Hafnarfjordur - Vikingur Reykjavik	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.07.22	Vikingur Reykjavik - Malmö	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TTWWT
- Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
31.07.22	Lech Poznań - Wisła Płock	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.07.22	Dinamo Batumi - Lech Poznań	1:1 ✺
21.07.22	Lech Poznań - Dinamo Batumi	5:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
16.07.22	Lech Poznań - Stal Mielec	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.07.22	Qarabağ Agdam - Lech Poznań	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTWLL

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