Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 13 July 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Skonto stadions (Riga) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Owen T. (Wal)


	Riga		Vikingur Reykjavik

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.75	4.33	Watch
	1.71	3.6	4.33
	1.72	3.5	4.9
	1.73	3.5	4.75
	1.72	3.57	4.92
				Watch
	1.72	3.7	4.8	Watch
	1.76	3.45	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.93)	3.58 ↑ (3.23)	4.78 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riga
54.3%

Draw
26.1%

Vikingur Reykjavik
19.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.3%

28.3%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

28.4%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Riga's performance.

Vikingur Reykjavik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Riga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vikingur Reykjavik than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.1%	7.9%	0%

Riga - Vikingur Reykjavik Predictions

Users Predictions: Riga will win (35 of 38 users predict this - 92.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.54% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Purins T. N. (G) 13. Jurkovskis R. 34. Cernomordijs A. 15. Bosancic P. 25. Muzinga N. 11. Soisalo M. 14. Babec H. 10. Aurelio D. 18. Regza M. 8. Jojic M. (C) 30. Pena B.	1. Jonsson I. (G) 24. Atlason D. 4. Ekroth O. 6. Vatnhamar G. 12. Sigurdsson H. 27. Vilhjalmsson M. 10. Punyed P. 3. Tomasson L. 7. Agnarsson E. 23. Hansen N. (C) 19. Djuric D.
Substitutes
23. Daskevics E. 33. Iljins K. 37. Kara 77. Mankenda G. 1. Matrevics R. (G) 21. Musah B. 93. Nguena K. 9. Petersons A. 95. Rangel 12. Zommers K. (G)	8. Andrason V. 15. Gudjohnsen A. 9. Gudjonsson H. 22. Gunnarsson K. 18. Ingason B. 16. Ingason T. (G) 17. Sigurpalsson A. 11. Thordarson G. 2. Thorkelsson S.
Coaches
Stipic T.	Gunnlaugsson A.

Preview

1st leg.

Riga is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vikingur is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vikingur could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Riga is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riga FC
Latvian Virsliga
08.07.23	Riga - Auda Riga	1:0 ✺
04.07.23	Riga - Liepāja	3:1 ✺
30.06.23	Riga - RFS	2:2 ✺
25.06.23	Jelgava - Riga	1:3 ✺
09.06.23	Valmiera - Riga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWTWL
- Vikingur Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
08.07.23	Keflavík - Vikingur Reykjavik	3:3 ✺
29.06.23	Fylkir - Vikingur Reykjavik	1:3 ✺
24.06.23	Vikingur Reykjavik - Stjarnan	2:0 ✺
11.06.23	Vikingur Reykjavik - Fram	3:1 ✺
Icelandic Cup
05.06.23	Thor Akureyri - Vikingur Reykjavik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riga FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.11.26	Riga - Jablonec	✺
Latvian Virsliga
01.11.26	Ogre United - Riga	✺

Riga - Vikingur Reykjavik