Match Info

3. Liga - Round 30

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Sportpark Hohenberg (Cologne)

Referee: Weller F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 8
Germany	Magenta Sport
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Viktoria Köln		Rot-Weiß Essen

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.4	2.1	Watch
	2.95	3.5	2.2
	2.88	3.5	2.22	Watch
	3.1	3.58	2.26
	2.97	3.62	2.19	Watch
	2.88	3.25	2.2
	2.9	3.36	2.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.43)	3.46 ↓ (3.63)	2.19 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoria Köln
31.4%

Draw
26.6%

Rot-Weiß Essen
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

25.2%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

25.1%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Viktoria Köln's form might have worsened.

Rot-Weiß Essen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Köln than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Viktoria Köln, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Viktoria Köln - Rot Weiß Essen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Schulz A. (G) 19. Sponsel M. 2. Dietz L. (C) 22. Boboy V. 30. Tonye Y. 18. Kloss T. 7. Handle S. 21. Wolf L. M. 5. Munst L. 10. Otto D. 23. Zank B.	1. Golz J. (G) 2. Kostka M. 23. Rios Alonso J. 4. Schultz M. (C) 19. Bouebari F. 8. Gjasula K. 26. Musel T. 11. Abiama D. 24. Mizuta K. 14. Brumme L. 9. Cuber Potocnik J.
Substitutes
3. Agyekum J. 6. Eisenhuth T. 8. Engelhardt F. 29. Popp L. 26. Richter D. (G) 34. Ronstadt F. 40. Sachse J. 37. Vega Zambrano J. 11. Velasco R.	15. Huning B. 18. Kaiser N. 33. Kraulich T. 10. Obuz M. 16. Reisig R. 7. Safi R. 22. Schmidt D. 39. Swajkowski G. 35. Wienand F. (G)
Coaches
Wilhelm M.	Koschinat U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Abiama D. ⚽, Mizuta K. (A),
12', 0 - 2, Brumme L. ⚽, Abiama D. (A),
45', Mizuta K. 🟨,
45+1', Wolf L. M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Rios Alonso J. 🟨,
52', 1 - 2, Rios Alonso J. (Own goal),
53', Boboy V. 🟨,
70', Dietz L. 🟨,
75', Brumme L. ↓, Safi R. ↑,
75', Musel T. ↓, Reisig R. ↑,
79', Tonye Y. ↓, Velasco R. ↑,
84', Kostka M. 🟨,
88', Boboy V. ↓, Vega Zambrano J. ↑,
88', Munst L. ↓, Sachse J. ↑,
89', Abiama D. ↓, Obuz M. ↑,
90', Mizuta K. ↓, Swajkowski G. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Viktoria Köln won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Viktoria Köln won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Viktoria Köln won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 0.8:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Viktoria Koln	7	5	0	2	19:9	10	15
3	RW Essen	8	4	3	1	16:12	4	15

Last Results with these Odds

Viktoria Köln - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.75%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Rot-Weiß Essen - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.01%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria Köln
German 3 Bundesliga
14.03.26	TSV Havelse - Viktoria Köln	3:2 ✺
06.03.26	Viktoria Köln - 1860 München	0:1 ✺
03.03.26	Osnabrück - Viktoria Köln	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Viktoria Köln - VfB Stuttgart II	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Hoffenheim II - Viktoria Köln	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLLWW
- Rot-Weiß Essen
German 3 Bundesliga
14.03.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Erzgebirge Aue	4:2 ✺
07.03.26	Hoffenheim II - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:4 ✺
04.03.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Waldhof Mannheim	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Hansa Rostock - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:2 ✺
21.02.26	Osnabrück - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
18.10.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Viktoria Köln	1:0
12.03.25	Viktoria Köln - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:0
05.10.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - Viktoria Köln	2:1
23.01.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - Viktoria Köln	3:1
23.08.23	Viktoria Köln - Rot-Weiß Essen	0:0
13.02.23	Viktoria Köln - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:0
09.08.22	Rot-Weiß Essen - Viktoria Köln	1:4

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