Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Doosan Arena (Plzen)

Referee: Bognar T. (Hun)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 10
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Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, VIX App


	Viktoria Plzeň		Ludogorets Razgrad

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.75
	1.82	3.6	4.33
	1.85	3.75	4.3
	1.88	3.67	4.52
	1.83	3.65	4.38	Watch
	1.83	3.6	4.33
	1.88	3.83	4.48
	1.85	3.75	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.75)	3.67 ↑ (3.5)	4.43 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoria Plzeň
52.1%

Draw
26.2%

Ludogorets Razgrad
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

26.6%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

28.7%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria Plzeň has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Viktoria Plzeň, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	7.5%	7.5%

Viktoria Plzeň - Ludogorets Razgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: Viktoria Plzeň will win (34 of 40 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.93% – 96.07%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Jedlicka M. (G) 40. Dweh S. 3. Markovic S. 21. Jemelka V. 33. Jirka E. 6. Cerv L. 23. Kalvach L. (C) 22. Cadu 20. Panos J. 31. Sulc P. 80. Adu P. K.	39. Bonmann H. (G) 16. Witry A. F. 24. Verdon O. 4. Almeida D. 17. Son 18. Chochev I. 30. Pedro Naressi 6. Piotrowski J. (C) 11. Caio Vidal 12. Rwan Seco 7. Rick
Substitutes
24. Havel M. 2. Hejda L. 10. Kopic J. 18. Mosquera J. 5. Paluska J. 9. Ricardinho 29. Sloncik T. 12. Sojka A. 13. Tvrdon M. (G) 32. Valenta M. 51. Vasulin D. 11. Vydra M.	20. Camara A. 9. Duah K. 23. Duarte D. 77. Erick Marcus 14. Gropper D. 67. Hristov D. (G) 1. Padt S. (G) 63. Pemperski A. 5. Terziev G.
Coaches
Koubek M.	Jovicevic I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Caio Vidal ↓, Camara A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Panos J. ↓, Vasulin D. ↑,
46', Kalvach L. 🟨,
52', Piotrowski J. (Pen),
64', Jirka E. ↓, Kopic J. ↑,
67', Rwan Seco ↓, Duah K. ↑,
71', Adu P. K. ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
78', Almeida D. ↓, Terziev G. ↑,
78', Chochev I. ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
79', Sulc P. 🟨,
87', Cadu ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
90+3', Rick 🟨,
90+3', Son 🟨,
90+7', Pedro Naressi 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Plzeň is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ludogorets is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Plzeň could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Plzeň is a favorite.

There will not play in Plzeň: Durosinmi R. (Inactive) Kabongo C. (Inactive) Sene C. (Inactive) Souare C. (Injury) Sykora J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Ludogorets: Nedyalkov A. (Knee Injury) Tekpetey B. (Inactive) Tissera M. (Inactive)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Plzeň won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Plzeň won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria Plzeň
Czech 1 Liga
29.09.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Mladá Boleslav	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.09.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Viktoria Plzeň	3:3 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
21.09.24	Slavia Prague - Viktoria Plzeň	3:0 ✺
17.09.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Sigma Olomouc	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Slovan Liberec - Viktoria Plzeň	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTLWT
- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
29.09.24	Botev Vratsa - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Slavia Prague	0:2 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
21.09.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Lokomotiv Sofia	2:0 ✺
18.09.24	Slavia Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:1 ✺
15.09.24	Krumovgrad - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
23.08.16	Viktoria Plzeň - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:2
17.08.16	Ludogorets Razgrad - Viktoria Plzeň	2:0
Club Friendly
22.01.16	Viktoria Plzeň - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:2

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