Match Info

BULGARIA: Parva liga - Round 12

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Nikola Shterev - Starika Sports Complex (Plovdiv)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Slovenia	SportKlub 2


	Krumovgrad		Ludogorets Razgrad

	1	X	2
	10	4.5	1.36	Watch
	7.5	4.6	1.35
	8.5	4.5	1.35	Watch
	9.38	4.85	1.34
	8.13	4.8	1.36	Watch
	7	4.33	1.35
	8.6	4.8	1.35	Watch
	8.5	4.5	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.45 ↑ (7.3)	4.61 ↑ (4.18)	1.35 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krumovgrad
11%

Draw
20.2%

Ludogorets Razgrad
68.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.8%

22.5%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.5%

21.9%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krumovgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krumovgrad than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Krumovgrad - Ludogorets Razgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Krumovgrad will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Ludogorets will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ludogorets: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Georgiev Y. (G) 5. Simic M. 44. Katsarov B. (C) 24. Marin L. 11. Georgiev A. 13. Diego Raposo 10. Yusein S. 4. Lucas Santana 2. Ali D. 19. Milev N. 70. Matheus Souza	1. Padt S. (C) 17. Son 4. Almeida D. 15. Kurtulus E. 14. Gropper D. 18. Chochev I. 30. Pedro Naressi 11. Caio Vidal 12. Rwan Seco 7. Rick 10. Tissera M.
Substitutes
18. Daniel 22. Dost E. 21. Makendzhiev B. (G) 14. Popov S. 25. Rabotov S. 9. Rafael Furtado 7. Tsvetanov M. 91. Velev V. 77. Yusein O.	39. Bonmann H. (G) 90. Delev S. 9. Duah K. 77. Erick Marcus 8. Nedelev T. 6. Piotrowski J. 5. Terziev G. 24. Verdon O. 82. Yordanov I.
Coaches
Ribarski A.	Sirakov Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Rwan Seco ⚽, Rick (A),
24', Chochev I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', Milev N. ↓, Rafael Furtado ↑,
59', 0 - 2, Rwan Seco ⚽, Rick (A),
66', Kurtulus E. ↓, Verdon O. ↑,
66', Tissera M. ↓, Duah K. ↑,
67', Katsarov B. 🟨,
73', Ali D. 🟨,
74', Rwan Seco ↓, Piotrowski J. ↑,
74', Rick ↓, Erick Marcus ↑,
74', Matheus Souza ↓, Tsvetanov M. ↑,
74', Georgiev A. ↓, Velev V. ↑,
80', Yusein S. ↓, Dost E. ↑,
81', Ali D. ↓, Yusein O. ↑,
83', 0 - 3, Erick Marcus ⚽,
85', Caio Vidal ↓, Delev S. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga (Conference League Group: )).

Krumovgrad is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ludogorets in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Krumovgrad could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ludogorets is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Krumovgrad won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Krumovgrad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Krumovgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
31.08.24	Krumovgrad - Septemvri Sofia	2:0 ✺
26.08.24	Cherno More Varna - Krumovgrad	3:0 ✺
16.08.24	Krumovgrad - Beroe Stara Zagora	0:1 ✺
10.08.24	Levski Sofia - Krumovgrad	3:0 ✺
04.08.24	Krumovgrad - Botev Plovdiv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLL
- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
01.09.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Cherno More Varna	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.08.24	Petrocub-Hîncești - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:2 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
25.08.24	Beroe Stara Zagora - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.08.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Petrocub-Hîncești	4:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
17.08.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Levski Sofia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
28.04.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Krumovgrad	3:3
05.11.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Krumovgrad	1:0
14.07.23	Krumovgrad - Ludogorets Razgrad	3:1

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