The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Poltava 47.8%
Draw 28.2%
Chernihiv 24%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.9%
25%
16.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.3%
24%
15.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Poltava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Poltava's form might have worsened.
Chernihiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chernihiv's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poltava than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Poltava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernihiv than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chernihiv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
20%
0%
Poltava - Chernihiv Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Poltava will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Minchev M. (G) 28. Blagodarnyi D. 19. Buzhyn M. (C) 7. Galenkov D. 11. Kasimov D. 17. Kobzar B. 2. Kononov M. 8. Odaryuk V. 22. Prikhna D. 10. Sad V. 97. Seytkhalilov S.
35. Tatarenko M. (C) 15. Bezgubchenko D. 13. Galoyan S. 2. Galstyan E. 12. Kartushov Y. 11. Novikov A. 44. Plakhtyr D. 55. Romanchenko A. 77. Serdyuk M. 6. Shalfeev Y. 23. Zenchenko O.
Substitutes
15. Danylenko V. 95. Kotsyumaka I. 20. Krokhmal N. 5. Pidlepych V. 13. Savenkov A. 27. Serbinov D. 12. Surdov O. (G) 21. Tlumak Y. 88. Vivdych O. 96. Yermolov D. (G) 74. Zhadan I.
26. Azizov D. 8. Bybik A. 20. Fateev D. 99. Gerasymenko D. (G) 7. Myronenko D. 33. Porokhnya A. 87. Rogozynskyi V. 3. Shumylo M. 38. Shushko P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Galoyan S. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Kononov M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 1 - 2, Serdyuk M. ⚽,
59', Blagodarnyi D. ↓, Danylenko V. ↑,
68', 2 - 2, Kasimov D. ⚽,
72', 3 - 2, Seytkhalilov S. ⚽,
74', Romanchenko A. 🟨,
75', Serdyuk M. ↓, Bybik A. ↑,
75', Novikov A. ↓, Porokhnya A. ↑,
75', Galoyan S. ↓, Rogozynskyi V. ↑,
84', Seytkhalilov S. 🟨,
84', Bybik A. 🟨,
87', Kobzar B. ↓, Vivdych O. ↑,
87', Odaryuk V. ↓, Kotsyumaka I. ↑,
87', Galenkov D. ↓, Tlumak Y. ↑,
90', Buzhyn M. 🟨,
90', Kartushov Y. 🟨,
90', 🟨,
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 4th in the Promotion ~ Persha Liga (Relegation: ) and 14th in the Persha Liga (Relegation Group: )).
Poltava has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Chernihiv has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Chernihiv could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Poltava for this game.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Poltava has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:3 (averaging 1.5:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Poltava against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).
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Minchev M. (G) 
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