Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 12

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Yuvileiny Stadium (Sumy) 🌤️ ...


	Viktoriya Sumy		Chernihiv

	1	X	2
	1.93	2.95	3.80
	1.95	2.92	4.10
	1.93	2.71	4.44
	1.79	3.46	4.21	Watch
	1.99	3.40	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.82)	3.09 ↓ (3.15)	4.04 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoriya Sumy
47.7%

Draw
29.6%

Chernihiv
22.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.7%

28.7%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

28.1%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoriya Sumy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Chernihiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoriya Sumy than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernihiv than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Viktoriya Sumy - Chernihiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kucheruk V. (G) 9. Chernov O. 18. Dedukh R. 45. Ilchuk I. 6. Khamelyuk V. 77. Kharchenko M. 70. Lyegostayev A. 4. Melnyk D. 28. Ryabyi D. 25. Sharay S. 33. Ulyanov D. (C)	35. Tatarenko M. (C) 15. Bezgubchenko D. 20. Fateev D. 12. Kartushov Y. 10. Koydan V. 11. Novikov A. 44. Plakhtyr D. 33. Porokhnya A. 87. Rogozynskyi V. 55. Romanchenko A. 6. Shalfeev Y.
Substitutes
8. Dobrokhotov Y. 27. Dolinskyi D. 7. Hryshchenko D. 15. Kirichenko D. 11. Lebedenko O. 32. Lytvynenko O. (G) 29. Ryabyi A. 19. Savytskyi V. 22. Shpyryonok A. 5. Vasyliev O. 1. Yurchenko N. (G)	26. Azizov D. 21. Bezborodko D. 8. Bybik A. 24. Didok D. 13. Galoyan S. 99. Gerasymenko D. (G) 7. Myronenko D. 80. Terekhovets N. 23. Zenchenko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Kharchenko M. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Novikov A. ⚽,
20', Tatarenko M. 🟥,
23', Koydan V. ↓, Gerasymenko D. ↑,
34', Khamelyuk V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 🟨,
50', 🟨,
50', 🟨,
57', Lyegostayev A. ↓, Shpyryonok A. ↑,
57', Kharchenko M. ↓, Kirichenko D. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Khamelyuk V. ⚽,
66', Dedukh R. ↓, Hryshchenko D. ↑,
66', Sharay S. ↓, Dobrokhotov Y. ↑,
69', Plakhtyr D. ↓, Bybik A. ↑,
69', Bezgubchenko D. ↓, Galoyan S. ↑,
74', Chernov O. ↓, Savytskyi V. ↑,
79', Shalfeev Y. ↓, Bezborodko D. ↑,
81', Azizov D. 🟨,

Preview

This match features the league leader against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Premier League and 14th in the Persha Liga (Relegation Group: )).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Viktoriya could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Chernihiv has had a run of games away from home.

In this matchup, Viktoriya is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Viktoriya has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:2 (averaging 2.2:0.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Viktoriya against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:1 goals (averaging 2.5:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Viktoria	13	7	4	2	17:10	7	25
14	FC Chernihiv	11	2	4	5	12:16	-4	10

Last Results with these Odds

Viktoriya Sumy - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 49.72%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoriya Sumy
Ukrainian Persha Liga
09.10.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Viktoriya Sumy	2:2 ✺
03.10.26	Viktoriya Sumy - Inhulets	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	UCSA - Viktoriya Sumy	0:0 ✺
21.09.26	Viktoriya Sumy - Nyva Ternopil	1:3 ✺
14.09.26	Oleksandriya - Viktoriya Sumy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWTLL
- FC Chernihiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
11.10.26	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Chernihiv	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
06.10.26	Trostianets - Chernihiv	2:4 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
02.10.26	Poltava - Chernihiv	3:2 ✺
27.09.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Chernihiv	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	UCSA - Chernihiv	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
23.11.25	Viktoriya Sumy - Chernihiv	3:0
09.08.25	Chernihiv - Viktoriya Sumy	1:2
Ukrainian Cup
12.08.24	Chernihiv - Viktoriya Sumy	0:1
Ukrainian Persha Liga
12.11.23	Chernihiv - Viktoriya Sumy	0:3
09.09.23	Viktoriya Sumy - Chernihiv	2:1

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