Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 17

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Yuvileiny Stadium (Sumy)


	Viktoriya Sumy		Chernihiv

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.35	4.45
	1.75	3.35	4.60	Watch
	1.69	3.55	4.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.76)	3.42 ↑ (3.15)	4.49 ↓ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoriya Sumy
52.9%

Draw
26.8%

Chernihiv
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

28.8%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

28.1%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoriya Sumy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Chernihiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Viktoriya Sumy aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernihiv than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Viktoriya Sumy - Chernihiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kucheruk V. (G) 9. Chernov O. 27. Dolinskyi D. 6. Khamelyuk V. 10. Knysh D. 16. Novotryasov A. 8. Palamar R. 28. Ryabyi D. 45. Sasovskyi M. 22. Shpyryonok A. 33. Ulyanov D. (C)	35. Tatarenko M. (C) 13. Bezgubchenko D. 8. Bybik A. 20. Fateev D. 12. Kartushov Y. 11. Novikov A. 33. Porokhnya A. 55. Romanchenko A. 6. Shalfeev Y. 3. Shumylo M. 23. Zenchenko O.
Substitutes
17. Dedyaev A. 4. Dudnyk Y. 11. Lebedenko O. 32. Lytvynenko O. (G) 29. Ryabyi A. 19. Savitsky V. J. 25. Sharay S. 15. Yevpak M. 1. Yurchenko N. (G)	24. Dmytrovych D. D. 19. Dorosh N. 2. Galstyan E. 7. Myronenko D. 22. Roshchynskyi O. (G) 77. Serdyuk M. 21. Shkolnyi V. 80. Terekhovets N. 25. Volskyi D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Dolinskyi D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bybik A. ↓, Serdyuk M. ↑,
48', Dolinskyi D. 🟨,
58', Bezgubchenko D. 🟨,
62', Shpyryonok A. ↓, Yevpak M. ↑,
62', Palamar R. ↓, Sharay S. ↑,
64', Knysh D. 🟨,
70', Zenchenko O. ↓, Myronenko D. ↑,
73', Myronenko D. 🟨,
74', Dolinskyi D. ↓, Lebedenko O. ↑,
79', Shumylo M. ↓, Galstyan E. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Sharay S. ⚽,
82', Knysh D. ↓, Dedyaev A. ↑,
85', Fateev D. 🟨,
88', Novikov A. ↓, Dorosh N. ↑,
88', Bezgubchenko D. ↓, Dmytrovych D. D. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 0, Savitsky V. J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 14 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation)).

Viktoriya has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Chernihiv has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Viktoriya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Viktoriya is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Viktoriya won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Viktoriya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoriya Sumy
Ukrainian Persha Liga
16.11.25	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Viktoriya Sumy	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Viktoriya Sumy - Feniks-Mariupol	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Probiy Horodenka - Viktoriya Sumy	3:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
29.10.25	Viktoriya Sumy - Inhulets	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
25.10.25	Viktoriya Sumy - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL
- FC Chernihiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
12.11.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Chernihiv	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Chernihiv - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Inhulets - Chernihiv	1:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
28.10.25	Chernihiv - Lisne	2:1 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
19.10.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Chernihiv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
09.08.25	Chernihiv - Viktoriya Sumy	1:2
Ukrainian Cup
12.08.24	Chernihiv - Viktoriya Sumy	0:1
Ukrainian Persha Liga
12.11.23	Chernihiv - Viktoriya Sumy	0:3
09.09.23	Viktoriya Sumy - Chernihiv	2:1

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