Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 9

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Yuvileiny Stadium (Sumy)


	Viktoriya Sumy		UCSA

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.35	4.05
	1.75	3.34	4.21
	2.23	3.22	3.00	Watch
	1.76	3.32	4.34
	2.2	3.2	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.2)	3.29 ↓ (3.3)	3.7 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoriya Sumy
47.1%

Draw
28%

UCSA
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

27.5%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

26.2%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoriya Sumy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Viktoriya Sumy's performance.

UCSA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UCSA might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoriya Sumy than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCSA than the current prediction. (+5%)

Viktoriya Sumy - UCSA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Lytvynenko O. (G) 9. Chernov O. 17. Dedyaev A. 4. Dudnyk Y. 6. Khamelyuk V. 10. Knysh D. 11. Lebedenko O. 8. Palamar R. 45. Sasovskyi M. 33. Ulyanov D. (C) 15. Yevpak M.	12. Postemskyi O. (G) 4. Balaba N. 8. Kireev A. 18. Lebedev S. 21. Matheus Fogo 10. Matheusinho (C) 81. Popravka Y. 45. Sabiyev D. 7. Sytnykov M. 78. Wendell 6. Yuvkhimets R.
Substitutes
77. Bogunov Y. 16. Novotryasov A. 29. Ryabyi A. 28. Ryabyi D. 19. Savitsky V. J. 7. Seytkhalilov S. 25. Sharay S. 1. Yurchenko N. (G)	73. Castro P. 47. Dziubuk I. 41. Icaro 77. Khovayko K. 99. Kovalev A. (G) 17. Pedro Acacio 22. Petruk N. 11. Romarinho 89. Synyogub O. 27. Vasin M. 5. Yevdokymov A. 19. Zherebetskyi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Palamar R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 2 - 0, Yevpak M. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 9).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Viktoriya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Viktoriya is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Viktoriya won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Viktoriya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoriya Sumy
Ukrainian Persha Liga
27.09.25	Vorskla Poltava - Viktoriya Sumy	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Viktoriya Sumy - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	0:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
17.09.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Viktoriya Sumy	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
13.09.25	Nyva Ternopil - Viktoriya Sumy	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Viktoriya Sumy - Metalist Kharkiv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TTWLW
- UCSA Kyiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
27.09.25	UCSA - Probiy Horodenka	0:0 ✺
19.09.25	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - UCSA	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	UCSA - Inhulets	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - UCSA	0:3 ✺
29.08.25	UCSA - Chornomorets Odesa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
27.11.24	Viktoriya Sumy - UCSA	5:1
29.09.24	UCSA - Viktoriya Sumy	1:1

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