Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 34

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga (Goiânia)

Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Vila Nova		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.25	4.33	Watch
	1.88	3.2	4.25
	1.85	3.38	4.96
	1.71	3.42	4.82	Watch
	1.88	3.2	4.4
	1.72	3.45	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.71)	3.32 ↓ (3.42)	4.61 ↓ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Nova
51.5%

Draw
28.2%

Ferroviária
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

27%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

26.7%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Vila Nova - Ferroviária Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Halls (G) 22. Thalys 3. Tiago Pagnussat 4. Pedro Romano 2. Elias 27. Igor Henrique 5. Joao Vieira (C) 10. Dodo 29. Junior Todinho 20. Bruno Mendes 7. Andre Luis	41. Denis Junior (G) 2. Lucas Rodrigues 44. Maycon 22. Ronaldo Alves (C) 31. Ze Mario 8. Alencar 5. Ricardinho 77. Juninho 10. Fabricio Daniel 92. Carlao 35. Netinho
Substitutes
15. Enzo 9. Gabriel Poveda 18. Gustavo Paje 17. Jean Mota 13. Marcondes 30. Mauricio Kozlinski (G) 23. Nathan Melo 8. Ralf 21. Ruan Ribeiro 1. Victor Hugo (G) 11. Vinicius Paiva 14. Weverton	20. Albano 14. Eric Melo 80. Fabio 27. Hernani 7. Kevin 1. Leo Wall (G) 29. Tarik 37. Thiago Lopes 11. Vitor Barreto 4. Vitor Mendes
Coaches
Umberto Louzer	Claudinei Oliveira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
26', Fabricio Daniel 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Tiago Pagnussat ⚽, Dodo (A),
43', 2 - 0, Andre Luis ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 1, Juninho ⚽, Fabricio Daniel (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Fabricio Daniel ↓, Thiago Lopes ↑,
52', Thalys 🟨,
61', Bruno Mendes ↓, Gabriel Poveda ↑,
61', Dodo ↓, Jean Mota ↑,
65', Alencar ↓, Albano ↑,
66', 2 - 2, Carlao (Pen),
69', Andre Luis ↓, Vinicius Paiva ↑,
72', Elias 🟨,
73', Juninho ↓, Vitor Barreto ↑,
75', Junior Todinho ↓, Gustavo Paje ↑,
76', Thalys ↓, Weverton ↑,
80', Weverton 🟨,
86', Ze Mario ↓, Eric Melo ↑,
86', Netinho ↓, Tarik ↑,
90+2', Ricardinho 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 15).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ferroviária may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vila Nova is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Vila Nova: Arilson (Inactive) Miticov (Inactive) Willian Formiga (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Ferroviária: Denilson (Knee Injury) Gustavo Jundi (Injury) Ian Luccas (Inactive) Thayllon (Injury)

There are questionable in Vila Nova: Andre Luis (Injury)

There are questionable in Ferroviária: Edson Lucas (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vila Nova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
18.10.25	Atlético Goianiense - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Vila Nova - Amazonas	1:0 ✺
08.10.25	América Mineiro - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
02.10.25	Vila Nova - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWTTT
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie B
20.10.25	Ferroviária - Paysandu	2:2 ✺
13.10.25	CRB Maceio - Ferroviária	2:2 ✺
09.10.25	Ferroviária - Chapecoense	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Ferroviária - América Mineiro	1:3 ✺
28.09.25	Botafogo SP - Ferroviária	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
06.07.25	Ferroviária - Vila Nova	1:3

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