Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 14

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Vilanova		Vilassar de Mar

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.15	3.4
	2.1	3.07	3.52
	2.08	3.13	3.48	Watch
	2.1	3	3.3
	2.04	3.16	3.39
	2.08	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.79)	3.09 ↓ (3.44)	3.43 ↓ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilanova
44.1%

Draw
29.5%

Vilassar de Mar
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

26.4%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

25.6%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilanova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vilanova's form might have worsened.

Vilassar de Mar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilanova than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilanova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilassar de Mar than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Vilanova - Vilassar de Mar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 12).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Vilanova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vilanova is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Vilanova
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
07.12.25	Mollerussa - Vilanova	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Vilanova - San Cristóbal	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Cornellà - Vilanova	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Vilanova - Badalona	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Montañesa - Vilanova	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TTTWT
- UE Vilassar de Mar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
06.12.25	Vilassar de Mar - LEscala	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Vilassar de Mar - Can Vidalet	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Mollerussa - Vilassar de Mar	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Vilassar de Mar - San Cristóbal	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Cornellà - Vilassar de Mar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWWLL

Vilanova - Vilassar de Mar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide