Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 6

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday


	Vilaverdense		Amora

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.33	6.75
	1.4	4.69	8
	1.42	4.25	6.8
	1.4	4.2	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.75)	4.37 ↑ (3.59)	7.09 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilaverdense
65.9%

Draw
21.1%

Amora
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

25.9%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

25.4%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilaverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vilaverdense's performance.

Amora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amora might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vilaverdense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amora than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Vilaverdense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Amora is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Vilaverdense is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vilaverdense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 3
30.04.23	Sanjoanense - Vilaverdense	0:0 ✺
23.04.23	Vilaverdense - Belenenses	0:0 ✺
15.04.23	Amora - Vilaverdense	0:2 ✺
08.04.23	Vilaverdense - Sanjoanense	2:0 ✺
31.03.23	Belenenses - Vilaverdense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTWWL
- Amora FC
Portuguese Liga 3
30.04.23	Amora - Belenenses	3:0 ✺
23.04.23	Amora - Sanjoanense	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Amora - Vilaverdense	0:2 ✺
09.04.23	Belenenses - Amora	3:0 ✺
02.04.23	Sanjoanense - Amora	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
15.04.23	Amora - Vilaverdense	0:2

Vilaverdense - Amora: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide