Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 5

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Conde Dias Garcia (São João da Madeira)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Sanjoanense		Vilaverdense

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.25	3.6
	1.9	3.35	3.6
	1.97	3.49	3.81
	1.87	3.52	4.06	Watch
	1.88	3.49	4	Watch
	1.9	3.35	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.04)	3.41 ↑ (3.17)	3.78 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sanjoanense
48.6%

Draw
27%

Vilaverdense
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

29%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

25%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanjoanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Vilaverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanjoanense than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sanjoanense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vilaverdense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sanjoanense - Vilaverdense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Duarte A. (G) 12. Vitinha 3. Loureiro F. 33. Dario 5. Santos R. 6. Daniel J. 16. Matos P. 42. Vitor Pisco 19. Mosquera Larrahondo S. D. 11. Jota 25. Couto J.	82. Cajo (G) 27. Ibrahim A. 18. Barbosa E. 26. Faria J. 42. Nildo 13. Camara B. 15. Nico 10. Alves H. 23. Ericson 7. Silva Ferreira W. L. 9. Neemias
Substitutes
7. Fonseca R. 86. Gomes R. 70. Kiko Felix 17. Kusso D. 1. Marco (G) 2. Martins J. 21. Neves R. 29. Pajaro J. 9. Pinto L.	21. Burst J. 28. Claudio I. 90. Diancoumba S. 14. Jota R. 8. Madaleno D. 99. Santos D. (G) 70. Yemi 4. Zuzarte G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Daniel J. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, Couto J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Silva Ferreira W. L. ↓, Diancoumba S. ↑,
50', 🟨,
54', 2 - 1, Diancoumba S. ⚽,
55', 🟨,
56', Ericson ↓, Zuzarte G. ↑,
60', Dario 🟨,
64', Alves H. ↓, Claudio I. ↑,
64', Camara B. ↓, Yemi ↑,
70', Santos R. 🟨,
75', Santos R. 🟥,
78', Couto J. ↓, Martins J. ↑,
82', Nildo 🟨,
83', Nildo 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sanjoanense won 1.

Recent matches Sanjoanense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vilaverdense is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sanjoanense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sanjoanense won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.5:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Sanjoanense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Sanjoanense
Portuguese Liga 3
09.03.25	Sanjoanense - Braga B	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	São João de Ver - Sanjoanense	2:2 ✺
22.02.25	Trofense - Sanjoanense	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Sanjoanense - Anadia	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Sanjoanense - Braga B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TTLTT
- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 3
08.03.25	Anadia - Vilaverdense	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Vilaverdense - Trofense	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Vilaverdense - Braga B	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	São João de Ver - Vilaverdense	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Vilaverdense - Amarante	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
09.11.24	Sanjoanense - Vilaverdense	1:0
10.08.24	Vilaverdense - Sanjoanense	1:1
30.04.23	Sanjoanense - Vilaverdense	0:0
08.04.23	Vilaverdense - Sanjoanense	2:0
05.02.23	Sanjoanense - Vilaverdense	1:1
22.10.22	Vilaverdense - Sanjoanense	0:0

Sanjoanense - Vilaverdense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide