Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 6

Date: 29 September 2023, Friday

Location: Estádio da Capital do Móvel (Paços de Ferreira)

Referee: Rodrigues A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2, Sport TV+


	Vilaverdense		Benfica B

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.25	2.5
	2.4	3.25	2.55
	2.6	3.5	2.5	Watch
	2.72	3.55	2.6
	2.38	3.5	2.5
	2.55	3.46	2.51	Watch
	2.5	3.35	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.51)	3.41 ↑ (3.31)	2.53 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilaverdense
36.4%

Draw
27.1%

Benfica B
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

27.4%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

27%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilaverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

The chances for Benfica B have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	30%	50%

Vilaverdense - Benfica B Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Vilaverdense will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Benfica B will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica B: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goncalves I. (G) 94. Viegas R. 26. Batista J. 33. Gustavo 27. Freitas C. (C) 8. Joao Caiado 20. Semedo Y. 7. Teixeira G. 88. Neves L. 70. Hanne B. 21. Harramiz S.	92. Souza P. (G) 70. Cruz F. (C) 76. Gustavo Marques 81. Bajrami A. 48. Rodrigues R. 74. Jevsenak Z. 77. Sanches G. 79. Felix H. 58. Maestro 52. Pereira H. 88. Caue V.
Substitutes
9. Adjei S. 11. Bruno Silva 17. Fati N. 6. Konate B. 3. Laercio 19. Lopes A. 5. Sako M. 93. Santos R. (G) 10. Soares A.	90. Benchimol 60. Felix N. 62. Lacroix L. 83. Luis R. 57. Precatado J. 86. Prioste D. 84. Rego J. 98. Ribeiro R. (G) 82. Spencer D.
Coaches
Barbosa A.	Verissimo N.

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).

Vilaverdense has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Benfica B is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
16.09.23	AVS - Vilaverdense	2:0 ✺
03.09.23	Vilaverdense - Nacional	1:2 ✺
27.08.23	Santa Clara - Vilaverdense	2:0 ✺
20.08.23	Vilaverdense - Oliveirense	1:2 ✺
13.08.23	Académico de Viseu - Vilaverdense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLT
- Benfica B
Portuguese Liga 2
17.09.23	Benfica B - Torreense	0:2 ✺
03.09.23	Leixões - Benfica B	1:1 ✺
27.08.23	Benfica B - Marítimo	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Leiria - Benfica B	3:1 ✺
13.08.23	Benfica B - Mafra	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLLW

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