Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 19

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Mar (Matosinhos)

Referee: Malheiro H. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV6


	Leixões		Benfica B

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.3	2.63
	2.6	3.2	2.35
	2.72	3.2	2.48
	2.73	3.35	2.66
	2.74	3.44	2.45	Watch
	2.6	3	2.5
	2.78	3.18	2.47	Watch
	2.75	3.25	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.7)	3.24 ↓ (3.29)	2.5 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leixões
34.4%

Draw
28.6%

Benfica B
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

28.2%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

27.9%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Leixões - Benfica B Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Benfica B will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Stefanovic I. (C) 3. Figueiredo L. 5. Naldo 63. Faria H. 77. Paulinho 66. Balde A. 22. Araujo C. 15. Simaozinho 35. Rochez B. 9. Bica 10. Paulite	50. Ferreira D. (G) 79. Pinto K. 94. Silva R. 64. Oliveira G. 62. Neto J. 95. de Sousa T. (C) 85. Ferreira M. 73. Figueiredo M. 84. Rego J. 96. Trevisan J. 67. Rego R.
Substitutes
13. Evrard Zag 18. Kanuric B. 1. Morro M. (G) 8. Neto 4. Rafael Santos 94. Rajani M. 30. Serif N. 91. Valente R. 7. Werton	54. Bernardes de Freitas Neto F. 83. Coletta F. 87. Edokpolor P. 90. Lima I. 77. Moreira G. 89. Parente T. 98. Ribeiro R. (G) 91. Silva F. 74. Tome O.
Coaches
Fangueiro C.	Verissimo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', de Sousa T. 🟨,
34', Figueiredo L. 🟨,
42', Rochez B. 🟨,
45+1', Faria H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Neto J. ↓, Lima I. ↑,
61', Trevisan J. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
64', Rochez B. ↓, Valente R. ↑,
64', Oliveira G. 🟨,
69', Bica 🟨,
72', Figueiredo M. ↓, Moreira G. ↑,
79', Paulite ↓, Werton ↑,
79', Simaozinho ↓, Serif N. ↑,
81', Moreira G. 🟨,
83', Pinto K. ↓, Parente T. ↑,
83', Silva R. ↓, Edokpolor P. ↑,
89', Paulinho 🟨,
90+5', Stefanovic I. 🟨,
90+6', Valente R. 🟥,
90+6', Parente T. 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 1.

Leixões has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Benfica B is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Leixões may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Leixões won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Benfica B	6	3	1	2	7:5	2	10
8	Leixoes	6	3	1	2	8:6	2	10

Last Results with these Odds

Leixões - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.28%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
17.01.26	Felgueiras - Leixões	0:1 ✺
08.01.26	Lusitânia - Leixões	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Leixões - Marítimo	1:4 ✺
14.12.25	Portimonense - Leixões	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Leixões - Porto B	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WTLWL
- Benfica B
Portuguese Liga 2
17.01.26	Benfica B - Chaves	1:0 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
13.01.26	Newcastle United U21 - Benfica B	0:5 ✺
07.01.26	Chelsea U21 - Benfica B	2:6 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
05.01.26	Benfica B - Porto B	1:1 ✺
28.12.25	Académico de Viseu - Benfica B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
17.08.25	Benfica B - Leixões	1:1
17.01.25	Benfica B - Leixões	4:0
10.08.24	Leixões - Benfica B	2:1
10.02.24	Benfica B - Leixões	1:1
03.09.23	Leixões - Benfica B	1:1
25.02.23	Leixões - Benfica B	1:1
03.09.22	Benfica B - Leixões	2:1

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