Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 31

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Benfica Campus (Seixal)

Referee: Rosa D. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Portugal	Benfica TV


	Benfica B		Mafra

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	3.9
	1.83	3.3	3.6
	1.91	3.45	3.9
	1.88	3.47	4.55
	1.91	3.36	4.12	Watch
	1.91	3.2	3.8
	1.93	3.38	4.07
	1.91	3.45	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.88)	3.39 ↓ (3.52)	3.98 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica B
49.3%

Draw
27.4%

Mafra
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

26.5%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

26.1%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Benfica B - Mafra Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Benfica B will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Mafra will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica B: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Benfica B will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
75. Gomes A. (G) 71. Santos L. 66. Wynder J. 76. Gustavo Marques 78. Kiko (C) 68. Veloso J. 86. Prioste D. 54. Bernardes de Freitas Neto F. 79. Felix H. 84. Rego J. 97. Melro J.	1. Fraisl M. (C) 66. Capitao D. 32. Rodrigo Freitas 29. Rossi R. 14. Alves K. 80. Goncalves V. 8. Lucas Gabriel 5. Beni D. 9. Nibe A. 90. Etim F. 95. Rochez B.
Substitutes
62. Lacroix L. 90. Lima I. 99. Luan 83. Luis R. 72. Okon-Engstler P. 91. Parente T. 92. Souza P. (G) 82. Spencer D. 89. Varela G.	60. Barros G. 16. Djabi A. 19. Iheanacho S. 17. Kolawole J. 22. Lemos F. (G) 76. Lukas 7. Matos R. 55. Pata I. 39. Souza A.
Coaches
Verissimo N.	Alves P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Beni D. (Own goal),
14', Rossi R. 🟥,
17', 2 - 0, Prioste D. (Pen),
23', Wynder J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Rodrigo Freitas ↓, Barros G. ↑,
46', Wynder J. ↓, Lacroix L. ↑,
46', Capitao D. ↓, Lukas ↑,
60', Lukas 🟨,
62', 3 - 0, Rego J. ⚽, Felix H. (A),
63', Kiko ↓, Parente T. ↑,
63', Melro J. ↓, Varela G. ↑,
66', Rochez B. ↓, Iheanacho S. ↑,
67', 4 - 0, Lacroix L. ⚽, Felix H. (A),
69', Goncalves V. 🟨,
73', Varela G. (Pen),
74', Prioste D. ↓, Okon-Engstler P. ↑,
74', Bernardes de Freitas Neto F. ↓, Lima I. ↑,
75', Goncalves V. ↓, Djabi A. ↑,
77', Santos L. 🟨,
81', Beni D. ↓, Matos R. ↑,
85', 5 - 0, Varela G. ⚽, Felix H. (A),
90+2', Rego J. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Benfica B won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Mafra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Benfica B is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Benfica B won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21:19 (average 1.5:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Benfica B won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:10 (average 2.1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica B
Portuguese Liga 2
18.04.25	Leiria - Benfica B	1:3 ✺
13.04.25	Benfica B - Marítimo	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Alverca - Benfica B	0:0 ✺
31.03.25	Benfica B - Académico de Viseu	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Tondela - Benfica B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLTWL
- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 2
20.04.25	Marítimo - Mafra	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Mafra - Penafiel	4:2 ✺
06.04.25	Académico de Viseu - Mafra	3:1 ✺
31.03.25	Mafra - Felgueiras	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Leiria - Mafra	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
14.12.24	Mafra - Benfica B	2:0
20.01.24	Mafra - Benfica B	1:2
13.08.23	Benfica B - Mafra	3:2
01.04.23	Mafra - Benfica B	1:1
18.10.22	Benfica B - Mafra	5:1
02.04.22	Mafra - Benfica B	2:1
07.11.21	Benfica B - Mafra	1:3

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