Match Info

Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 5

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Conde Dias Garcia (São João da Madeira)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Sanjoanense		Braga B

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.05	2.52
	2.86	3.16	2.61
	2.65	3.11	2.7	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.5
	2.64	3.37	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.75)	3.12 ↑ (2.95)	2.57 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sanjoanense
34.5%

Draw
29.6%

Braga B
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

31%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

31.1%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanjoanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Braga B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanjoanense than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga B than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Sanjoanense - Braga B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monteiro J. (G) 2. Martins J. 27. John K. 5. Santos R. 12. Vitinha 13. Pinheiro Edu 8. Podstawski T. 6. Serra A. 16. Gomes V. 30. Talles Wander 10. Kiko Felix	78. Carvalho J. (G) 82. Costa G. 53. Noro J. 76. Marques T. 81. Pascoal F. 61. Ferreira T. 60. Lomba J. 80. Vasconcelos 89. Duarte A. 11. Merheg S. J. 95. Vidigal S.
Substitutes
20. Andrezinho 19. Cezar F. 25. Couto J. 36. Duarte A. (G) 21. Gomes R. 24. Maio F. 3. Nando 73. Oliveira D. 33. Sa G.	47. Araujo M. 66. Dias G. (G) 79. Furtado R. 92. Gil A. 99. Kauan Kelvin 90. Luisinho 18. Moraes G. 70. Mordomo R. 96. Sousa A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Costa G. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Vidigal S. ⚽, Costa G. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Pinheiro Edu ⚽,
54', Duarte A. 🟨,
55', 🟨,
64', Duarte A. ↓, Furtado R. ↑,
64', Ferreira T. ↓, Luisinho ↑,
64', Costa G. ↓, Araujo M. ↑,
70', Serra A. 🟨,
73', Kiko Felix ↓, Cezar F. ↑,
78', Vasconcelos (Penalty Awarded),
78', Pinheiro Edu ↓, Couto J. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Vidigal S. ⚽,
88', Vidigal S. ↓, Mordomo R. ↑,
90', Martins J. ↓, Maio F. ↑,
90+2', Luisinho 🟨,
90+3', Vasconcelos ↓, Gil A. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Gomes V. ⚽,
90+5', Gil A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sanjoanense won 0.

Sanjoanense is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Braga B has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Sanjoanense won 1 match, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sanjoanense won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Sanjoanense
Portuguese Liga 3
08.03.26	Sanjoanense - Marco 09	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Fafe - Sanjoanense	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Paredes - Sanjoanense	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Sanjoanense - São João de Ver	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Sanjoanense - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLTL
- Braga B
Portuguese Liga 3
08.03.26	São João de Ver - Braga B	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Braga B - Paredes	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Braga B - Marco 09	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Fafe - Braga B	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Fafe - Braga B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
20.12.25	Sanjoanense - Braga B	0:2
24.09.25	Braga B - Sanjoanense	2:2
30.03.25	Braga B - Sanjoanense	0:0
09.03.25	Sanjoanense - Braga B	1:1
26.01.25	Sanjoanense - Braga B	2:2
27.10.24	Braga B - Sanjoanense	2:2
07.01.24	Sanjoanense - Braga B	2:4

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