Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 23

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Camacha		Machico

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.95	3.7
	1.82	3.15	4.05
	1.71	3.43	4.35
	1.77	3.41	4.24	Watch
	1.75	3	4.2
	1.79	3.32	4.5
	1.76	3.2	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.83)	3.21 ↓ (3.34)	4.11 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camacha
50.1%

Draw
28%

Machico
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

27.1%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

27.3%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camacha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Machico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camacha than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machico than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Camacha - Machico Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Camacha (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Camacha (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Camacha (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, ⚽,
54', 1 - 1, ⚽,
59', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 8).

Recent performances by Camacha have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Machico is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Camacha is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Camacha won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.6:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Camacha won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Camacha
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
15.03.26	Brito - Camacha	4:2 ✺
08.03.26	Camacha - São Martinho	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Vianense - Camacha	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Camacha - Tirsense	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Chaves B - Camacha	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTTT
- AD Machico
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
15.03.26	Machico - Bragança	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Machico - Brito	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	São Martinho - Machico	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Machico - Vianense	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	Tirsense - Machico	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
29.11.25	Machico - Camacha	0:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.01.25	Machico - Camacha	1:1
25.08.24	Camacha - Machico	0:0
05.02.23	Camacha - Machico	1:1
23.10.22	Machico - Camacha	0:1

Camacha - Machico: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide