Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 31

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Mar (Matosinhos)

Referee: Melo F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV3


	Leixões		Vilaverdense

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	4.75
	1.7	3.3	4.33
	1.66	3.75	5
	1.76	3.73	5.01
	1.74	3.73	5.01
	1.67	3.5	4.4
	1.71	3.58	4.58
	1.68	3.45	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.78)	3.56 ↓ (3.63)	4.72 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leixões
54.4%

Draw
26%

Vilaverdense
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

25.9%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

25.6%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Vilaverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Leixões - Vilaverdense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Stefanovic I. (C) 77. Paulinho 4. Leo Bolgado 43. Danrlei 15. Simaozinho 84. Adriano Amorim 13. Zagbayou H. 6. Paulinho 10. Paulite 9. Joao Marcos 33. Valente R.	93. Santos R. (G) 6. Konate B. 27. Freitas C. 26. Batista J. 88. Neves L. 8. Joao Caiado 23. Ericson 11. Bruno Silva 10. Soares A. (C) 19. Lopes A. 7. Teixeira G.
Substitutes
44. Avto 99. Bright 45. Daniels D. 19. Marufdeen M. 1. Moura R. (G) 70. Oliveira J. 92. Rafael 16. Simoes A. 18. Vito	52. Burst J. 82. Cajo (G) 17. Fati N. 70. Hanne B. 4. Kawale R. 3. Laercio 5. Sako M. 25. Seedorf S.
Coaches
Fangueiro C.	Machado S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Soares A. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Simaozinho ⚽,
43', Ericson 🟨,
43', Joao Caiado 🟨,
45+1', Leo Bolgado 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', Konate B. 🟨,
58', Adriano Amorim ↓, Avto ↑,
58', Valente R. ↓, Daniels D. ↑,
65', Zagbayou H. 🟨,
67', Ericson ↓, Sako M. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Sako M. ⚽, Teixeira G. (A),
80', 1 - 3, Teixeira G. ⚽,
81', Zagbayou H. ↓, Marufdeen M. ↑,
81', Paulite ↓, Vito ↑,
83', Soares A. ↓, Hanne B. ↑,
90+1', Bruno Silva ↓, Seedorf S. ↑,
90+1', Joao Caiado ↓, Laercio ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Recent matches Leixões is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vilaverdense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leixões could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Leixões is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Leixões won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Leixões won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
19.04.24	Feirense - Leixões	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	Leixões - Torreense	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Leixões - Leiria	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Marítimo - Leixões	0:0 ✺
17.03.24	Leixões - Mafra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TTTTT
- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
21.04.24	Vilaverdense - Marítimo	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Leiria - Vilaverdense	3:1 ✺
07.04.24	Vilaverdense - Mafra	2:1 ✺
29.03.24	Tondela - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
18.03.24	Vilaverdense - Belenenses	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
17.12.23	Vilaverdense - Leixões	1:0
Taça de Portugal
16.10.21	Leixões - Vilaverdense	5:1

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