Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Round 10

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra (Coimbra)


	Vilaverdense		Fafe

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.66
	4.5	3.6	1.68
	5.03	3.76	1.7
	5.03	3.73	1.67
	4.73	3.6	1.64
	4.5	3.6	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↑ (4.3)	3.65 ↑ (3.51)	1.67 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilaverdense
19.7%

Draw
25.2%

Fafe
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

26.5%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

26.1%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilaverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Fafe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Vilaverdense - Fafe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
82. Cajo (C) 4. Zuzarte G. 27. Ibrahim A. 13. Camara B. 8. Madaleno D. 10. Alves H. 42. Nildo N. 54. Bagarolo H. 14. Jota R. 9. Barbosa M. 70. Yemi	98. Alves C. (G) 2. Sousa B. (C) 4. Teixeira L. 26. Batista J. 13. Vigario J. 35. Cardoso F. 8. Braga V. 17. Goncalves R. 10. Serra Matos P. M. 18. Ribeiro P. 11. Picas
Substitutes
18. Barbosa E. 21. Burst J. 28. Claudio I. 11. Dica 33. Monteiro D. 44. Neto L. 77. Robertson D. 5. Sacko M. 99. Santos D. (G)	20. Amorim J. 3. da Silva G. W. 1. Enes Guimaraes F. (G) 88. Erico 12. Farias E. 9. Kodama R. 7. Leite T. 44. Morais B. 5. Nandinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Goncalves R. ⚽,
33', Cardoso F. 🟨,
37', Barbosa M. 🟨,
45', Zuzarte G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 0 - 2, Vigario J. ⚽,
56', Alves H. ↓, Sacko M. ↑,
56', Jota R. ↓, Dica ↑,
56', Bagarolo H. ↓, Barbosa E. ↑,
60', Ibrahim A. 🟨,
63', Batista J. ↓, Morais B. ↑,
63', Ribeiro P. ↓, Farias E. ↑,
65', Yemi 🟨,
69', Yemi ↓, Claudio I. ↑,
69', Camara B. ↓, Robertson D. ↑,
77', 🟨,
81', Serra Matos P. M. ↓, Erico ↑,
81', Cardoso F. ↓, Amorim J. ↑,
81', Picas ↓, Nandinho ↑,
82', Morais B. 🟨,
86', 🟨,
87', 0 - 3, Farias E. ⚽,
90+3', Claudio I. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).

Vilaverdense has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Fafe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Fafe is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vilaverdense won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.6:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Vilaverdense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 3
27.10.24	Amarante - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Vilaverdense - Braga B	0:0 ✺
28.09.24	Lusitânia - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Paredes - Vilaverdense	3:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
15.09.24	Vilaverdense - Varzim	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLLL
- AD Fafe
Portuguese Liga 3
26.10.24	Anadia - Fafe	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Fafe - Amarante	4:1 ✺
28.09.24	Fafe - São João de Ver	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Braga B - Fafe	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
08.09.24	Fafe - Amarante	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
04.08.24	Fafe - Vilaverdense	1:0
15.01.23	Vilaverdense - Fafe	3:2
04.09.22	Fafe - Vilaverdense	0:3
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
10.03.19	Vilaverdense - Fafe	0:3
04.03.18	Vilaverdense - Fafe	2:1

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