Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 16

Date: 28 January 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Portugal	15:00	Canal 11


	Vilaverdense		Felgueiras

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.35
	2.13	3.2	3.05
	2.36	3.17	3.29
	2.17	3.16	3.1	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.04)	3.16 ↓ (3.25)	3.18 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilaverdense
42.1%

Draw
29.1%

Felgueiras
28.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.7%

28.7%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

31.5%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilaverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilaverdense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felgueiras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group)).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Felgueiras could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Vilaverdense have a series of home games.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vilaverdense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 3
22.01.23	Anadia - Vilaverdense	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Vilaverdense - Fafe	3:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
11.01.23	Vilaverdense - BSAD	1:4 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
07.01.23	Braga B - Vilaverdense	0:0 ✺
17.12.22	Vilaverdense - Paredes	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWLTW
- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 3
20.01.23	Felgueiras - Varzim	2:0 ✺
15.01.23	São João de Ver - Felgueiras	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Felgueiras - Montalegre	0:2 ✺
17.12.22	Sanjoanense - Felgueiras	1:2 ✺
03.12.22	Felgueiras - Vitoria Guimarães B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
08.10.22	Felgueiras - Vilaverdense	1:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
17.02.19	Felgueiras - Vilaverdense	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 2
01.11.26	Tondela - Felgueiras	✺

Vilaverdense - Felgueiras

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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