Match Info

Date: 14 July 2022, Thursday

Location: Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Carreras J. (Arg)


	Villa Dálmine		Nueva Chicago

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.8	Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.5
	2.25	2.85	3.35
	2.11	2.9	3.5
	2.23	2.98	3.84
	2.2	2.8	3.5
	2.25	2.92	3.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.16)	2.91 ↑ (2.87)	3.56 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Dálmine
42.1%

Draw
31.8%

Nueva Chicago
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

32.1%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

31.1%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Dálmine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Nueva Chicago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28%	56%	16%

Villa Dálmine - Nueva Chicago Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Villa Dálmine will win (votes: 7 - 28%). Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 4 - 16%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 56%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 36.5% – 75.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Villa Dálmine won 2.

Villa Dálmine is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nueva Chicago has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Villa Dálmine will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Villa Dálmine won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Villa Dálmine won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.07.22	Club Almagro - Villa Dálmine	1:0 ✺
04.07.22	Villa Dálmine - Alvarado	1:1 ✺
26.06.22	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Villa Dálmine	4:1 ✺
18.06.22	Villa Dálmine - Deportivo Madryn	3:3 ✺
12.06.22	Deportivo Morón - Villa Dálmine	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTLTL
- CA Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.07.22	Nueva Chicago - Belgrano	0:1 ✺
02.07.22	Deportivo Riestra - Nueva Chicago	3:0 ✺
27.06.22	Nueva Chicago - Güemes	0:2 ✺
18.06.22	All Boys - Nueva Chicago	3:0 ✺
10.06.22	Nueva Chicago - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.11.18	Villa Dálmine - Nueva Chicago	3:1
26.11.17	Villa Dálmine - Nueva Chicago	2:1
15.04.17	Villa Dálmine - Nueva Chicago	2:3
25.10.16	Nueva Chicago - Villa Dálmine	3:1
29.04.16	Nueva Chicago - Villa Dálmine	6:4

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