Match Info

Date: 4 July 2022, Monday

Location: Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Rivero R. (Arg)


	Villa Dálmine		Alvarado

	1	X	2
	2	3	4.5	Watch
	1.98	3	3.9
	2.06	2.9	3.7
	1.99	2.95	3.85
	2.04	3.16	4.19
	2.1	2.8	3.8
	2.05	2.94	3.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.25)	2.96 ↑ (2.85)	3.98 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Dálmine
45.6%

Draw
31.2%

Alvarado
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

32.5%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

35.5%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Dálmine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24.1%	58.6%	17.2%

Villa Dálmine - Alvarado Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Villa Dálmine will win (votes: 7 - 24.1%). Alvarado will win (votes: 5 - 17.2%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 58.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40.7% – 76.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Villa Dálmine will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.06.22	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Villa Dálmine	4:1 ✺
18.06.22	Villa Dálmine - Deportivo Madryn	3:3 ✺
12.06.22	Deportivo Morón - Villa Dálmine	1:0 ✺
06.06.22	Villa Dálmine - Temperley	0:0 ✺
28.05.22	Deportivo Flandria - Villa Dálmine	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTLTL
- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.06.22	Alvarado - Belgrano	0:1 ✺
18.06.22	Deportivo Riestra - Alvarado	3:0 ✺
12.06.22	Alvarado - Güemes	2:1 ✺
04.06.22	All Boys - Alvarado	3:1 ✺
29.05.22	Alvarado - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWLT

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