Match Info

Primera B - Round 26

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Villa Dálmine		Defensores Unidos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.30	6.00
	1.50	3.30	6.50	Watch
	1.52	3.59	6.88
	1.56	3.38	6.33	Watch
	1.50	3.55	6.35
	1.58	3.52	6.47
	1.52	3.35	6.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.8)	3.43 ↑ (3.05)	6.39 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Dálmine
59.3%

Draw
26.5%

Defensores Unidos
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

29.4%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

28.1%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Dálmine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa Dálmine's performance.

Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensores Unidos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa Dálmine that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensores Unidos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Villa Dálmine - Defensores Unidos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rojas J. (G) 6. Agorreca N. 15. Britos M. 7. Gargiulo V. 8. Garzino F. 3. Martinez D. 11. Ponzo T. 10. Prim S. 5. Solis M. 9. Torres G. 2. Zurita M.	1. Henricot F. (G) 5. Baigorria A. 4. Ferreyra T. 10. Gimenez M. 7. Girard T. 2. Iribarne S. 9. Lopez M. 3. Olivera L. 18. Ortigoza M. 6. Suarez F. 8. Tello J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Baigorria A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Garzino F. ↓, Nizzo M. ↑,
46', Zurita M. ↓, Karnincic B. ↑,
68', Lopez M. ↓, Girard T. ↑,
73', Nizzo M. 🟨,
83', Gargiulo V. ↓, Oro P. ↑,
85', Ponzo T. 🟨,
86', Ortigoza M. 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+1', Ortigoza M. ↓, Ferreyra T. ↑,
90+4', Gimenez M. 🟨,
90+5', Prim S. 🟨,
90+9', Prim S. ↓, Carlucci V. ↑,
90+13', Tello J. ↓, Redondo K. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 19).

Villa Dálmine is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Defensores Unidos has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Villa Dálmine is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Villa Dálmine won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Villa Dalmine	38	17	13	8	38:23	15	64
18	Defensores Unidos	38	9	14	15	33:39	-6	41

Last Results with these Odds

Defensores Unidos - the odds 4.3 are the expected chance of winning is 20.84%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera B
14.07.26	Comunicaciones - Villa Dálmine	0:0 ✺
10.07.26	Villa Dálmine - Sportivo Dock Sud	2:1 ✺
04.07.26	Deportivo Merlo - Villa Dálmine	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Villa Dálmine - Deportivo Camioneros	0:1 ✺
20.06.26	Villa Dálmine - Sportivo Italiano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWWLW
- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera B
14.07.26	Defensores Unidos - Excursionistas	0:2 ✺
10.07.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Defensores Unidos	3:1 ✺
05.07.26	Defensores Unidos - Argentino de Merlo	1:1 ✺
27.06.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
20.06.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
27.05.26	Defensores Unidos - Villa Dálmine	2:1

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