The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ferro Carril Oeste 50.4%
Draw 29.8%
Deportivo Madryn 19.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.2%
30.8%
22%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.4%
30%
21.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Deportivo Madryn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
37.5%
0%
Ferro Carril Oeste - Deportivo Madryn Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Ferro Carril will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Monetti F. (G) 4. Nazareno K. 2. Orellana J. 6. Canto G. 3. Ozuna E. 5. Obradovich F. 7. Gonzalez A. 8. Kabalin M. 10. Hoyos E. 9. Reniero N. 11. Dening E.
1. Bonnin Y. (C) 4. Cosi J. 2. Giacopuzzi F. 6. Corvalan C. 3. Diarte L. 10. Solis N. 8. Meli M. 5. Recalde F. 7. Marinucci L. 9. Silba L. 11. Machado C.
Substitutes
16. Castellani G. 18. Corda S. 17. Garcia S. 20. Marra L. 19. Menendez J. 15. Olguin G. 12. Ruiz L. (G) 13. Taron M. 14. Tevez F.
18. Bersano F. 13. Dionisio A. 14. Gutierrez A. 16. Martinez D. 17. Montagna E. 12. Montero M. (G) 19. Peinipil J. 20. Servetto N. 15. Sosa A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Solis N. 🟨,
44', Canto G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', Cosi J. ↓, Dionisio A. ↑,
57', Dionisio A. 🟨,
61', Marinucci L. 🟨,
62', Canto G. 🟨,
65', Reniero N. ↓, Taron M. ↑,
67', Dening E. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Meli M. ↓, Peinipil J. ↑,
70', Marinucci L. ↓, Montagna E. ↑,
73', Taron M. 🟨,
74', Gonzalez A. ↓, Marra L. ↑,
74', Dening E. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
78', 0 - 1, Montagna E. ⚽, Silba L. (A),
78', Hoyos E. ↓, Menendez J. ↑,
78', Kabalin M. ↓, Castellani G. ↑,
84', Marra L. 🟨,
90', Giacopuzzi F. ↓, Gutierrez A. ↑,
90', Silba L. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 2, Peinipil J. ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - Primera Nacional Promotion - Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferro Carril won 1.
In recent outings, Ferro Carril has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Deportivo Madryn is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Ferro Carril for this game.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Ferro Carril has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:6 (averaging 0.7:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ferro Carril against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals (averaging 0.3:1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Madryn - the odds 4.25 are the expected chance of winning is 22%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Monetti F. (G) 
Machado C. 
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