Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 13

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Amiconi B. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Ferro Carril Oeste		Quilmes

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.5	Watch
	2.25	2.75	3.4
	2.27	2.85	3.45	Watch
	2.42	2.8	3.77
	2.32	2.77	3.65	Watch
	2.3	2.75	3.4
	2.26	2.79	3.56	Watch
	2.27	2.85	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.05)	2.82 ↓ (3.2)	3.52 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferro Carril Oeste
40.6%

Draw
33%

Quilmes
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

29.3%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

28.1%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferro Carril Oeste's form might have worsened.

Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferro Carril Oeste, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Ferro Carril Oeste - Quilmes Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ferro Carril will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Quilmes will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monetti F. (G) 4. Nazareno K. 2. Rivero F. 6. Boolsen P. 3. Ayala R. 8. Cosi J. 5. Castellani G. (C) 10. Palacio P. 7. Campos M. 9. Romero L. 11. Garcia F.	1. Glellel E. (G) 4. Torrent F. 2. Aranda G. 6. Flores F. 3. Allende L. 8. Enrique M. 5. Ramirez I. (C) 10. Roseti M. 11. Machado C. 7. Mazzurco F. 9. Schultz E.
Substitutes
20. Alonso A. 18. Ayala G. 19. Benegas M. 17. Esidin T. 16. Fernandez Pinto J. 13. Meritello F. 14. Monserrat M. 15. Ramirez G. 12. Ruiz L. (G)	19. Capano J. 20. Herrera E. 16. Kalinski E. 17. Mino M. 14. Padilla M. 13. Perez F. 18. Postigo J. 15. Vangioni L.
Coaches
Grelak A.	Rondina S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Campos M. ↓, Ramirez G. ↑,
52', Flores F. 🟨,
58', Palacio P. 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Romero L. ⚽,
61', Palacio P. ↓, Ayala G. ↑,
62', Aranda G. 🟨,
65', Aranda G. 🟥,
67', Mazzurco F. ↓, Padilla M. ↑,
73', Romero L. ↓, Benegas M. ↑,
73', Garcia F. ↓, Meritello F. ↑,
78', Schultz E. ↓, Capano J. ↑,
78', Machado C. ↓, Herrera E. ↑,
79', Enrique M. 🟨,
88', Torrent F. ↓, Vangioni L. ↑,
88', Roseti M. ↓, Mino M. ↑,
90', Ramirez I. 🟨,
90+2', Benegas M. 🟨,
90+3', Nazareno K. ↓, Fernandez Pinto J. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferro Carril won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ferro Carril could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ferro Carril won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferro Carril won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.04.25	Racing de Córdoba - Ferro Carril Oeste	4:0 ✺
22.04.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Colegiales - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0 ✺
07.04.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Arsenal Sarandí	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	All Boys - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLLWW
- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.04.25	Quilmes - Club Almagro	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	San Miguel - Quilmes	2:2 ✺
13.04.25	Quilmes - Los Andes	2:0 ✺
07.04.25	Quilmes - Racing de Córdoba	3:0 ✺
31.03.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Quilmes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.10.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - Quilmes	0:2
02.06.24	Quilmes - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:4
24.06.23	Quilmes - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0
17.02.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Quilmes	2:3
28.02.22	Quilmes - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:1
13.12.21	Quilmes - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0
06.12.21	Ferro Carril Oeste - Quilmes	1:1

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