The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villa Dálmine 62.9%
Draw 24.5%
Ituzaingó 12.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.5%
24.9%
14.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.6%
19.6%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa Dálmine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Ituzaingó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (-15.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa Dálmine that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ituzaingó could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Villa Dálmine - Ituzaingó Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rojas J. (G) 6. Agorreca N. 7. Britos M. 2. Broggi C. 4. Gamba L. 8. Garzino F. 9. Gimenez F. 3. Nievas A. 11. Oro P. 10. Prim S. 5. Solis M.
1. Barraza L. (G) 3. Barea T. 5. Desposito P. 8. Fanti J. 9. Gras S. 6. Mantovani E. (C) 2. Martinez J. 7. Maza J. 10. Mena L. 4. Regules I. 11. Sotelo A.
Substitutes
12. Friedrich G. (G) 17. Gargiulo V. 16. Mascarell T. 15. Nizzo M. 20. Paez M. 14. Ramon E. 18. Resquin G. 19. Torres G. 13. Zurita M.
12. Almiron A. (G) 14. Bermejo M. 15. Garcia L. 19. Mariani B. 20. Miranda A. 18. Odunukwe J. 13. Politano R. 17. Sala H. 16. Salvadores J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Garzino F. ⚽,
36', 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Oro P. ⚽,
41', 3 - 0, Oro P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Barea T. ↓, Bermejo M. ↑,
46', Gras S. ↓, Miranda A. ↑,
55', Prim S. ↓, Gargiulo V. ↑,
55', Gimenez F. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
58', Mena L. ↓, Sala H. ↑,
59', Nievas A. ↓, Ramon E. ↑,
67', Regules I. ↓, Odunukwe J. ↑,
72', Britos M. ↓, Mascarell T. ↑,
72', Oro P. ↓, Resquin G. ↑,
78', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
84', 3 - 1, Miranda A. ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 5th in the Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Playoffs and 22nd in the Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )).
In recent outings, Villa Dálmine has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Ituzaingó has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Ituzaingó could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Villa Dálmine holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Villa Dálmine has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.