Match Info

Primera B - Round 35

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Excursionistas Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Excursionistas		Villa Dálmine

	1	X	2
	2.00	2.85	3.70
	1.98	2.75	3.85
	1.98	2.99	4.11
	2	2.9	4.01	Watch
	1.93	2.75	4
	2.22	2.85	3.46
	1.99	2.8	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.23)	2.84 ↓ (2.85)	3.85 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excursionistas
44.8%

Draw
31.8%

Villa Dálmine
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

31.6%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

30.3%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Villa Dálmine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Excursionistas - Villa Dálmine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez N. (G) 3. Arango M. 8. Avalos A. 11. Chambi L. 7. Damiolini N. 10. Espeche A. 4. Fernandez M. 2. Ledesma D. 6. Pedrosa G. 9. Tellas G. 5. Zoratti G.	1. Rojas J. (G) 6. Agorreca N. 2. Broggi C. 4. Gamba L. 8. Gargiulo V. 7. Garzino F. 9. Gimenez F. 3. Martinez D. 11. Ponzo T. 10. Prim S. 5. Solis M.
Substitutes
15. Alaniz M. 20. Blanco M. 12. Blengio M. (G) 17. Cardozo M. 19. Gimenez W. 16. Lopez M. 14. Paulides A. 13. Rodriguez G. 18. Scaramuzzi E.	14. Britos M. 12. Friedrich G. (G) 18. Mascarell T. 17. Nievas A. 16. Nizzo M. 19. Paez M. 15. Ramon E. 20. Torres G. 13. Zurita M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Tellas G. ⚽,
30', Damiolini N. 🟨,
45', Agorreca N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', Damiolini N. ↓, Gimenez W. ↑,
66', Garzino F. ↓, Paez M. ↑,
66', Gargiulo V. ↓, Nievas A. ↑,
69', Chambi L. ↓, Alaniz M. ↑,
69', Arango M. ↓, Paulides A. ↑,
76', Espeche A. ↓, Blanco M. ↑,
77', Tellas G. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Gimenez W. ⚽,
85', Martinez D. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
87', 3 - 0, Avalos A. ⚽,
90+1', Torres G. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Excursionistas is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Villa Dálmine's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Excursionistas might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Excursionistas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Excursionistas	38	22	8	8	59:30	29	74
5	Villa Dalmine	38	17	13	8	38:23	15	64

Last Results with these Odds

Excursionistas - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 40.33%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera B
07.09.26	Excursionistas - Ituzaingó	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Excursionistas	3:0 ✺
25.08.26	Excursionistas - Argentino de Merlo	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Excursionistas	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Excursionistas - Deportivo Laferrere	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLWWW
- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera B
05.09.26	Villa Dálmine - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Argentino de Merlo - Villa Dálmine	0:0 ✺
25.08.26	Villa Dálmine - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Villa Dálmine	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Villa Dálmine - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
02.05.26	Villa Dálmine - Excursionistas	1:0
15.11.25	Villa Dálmine - Excursionistas	2:1
20.06.25	Excursionistas - Villa Dálmine	3:0
01.09.24	Villa Dálmine - Excursionistas	0:0
13.04.24	Excursionistas - Villa Dálmine	2:2

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