Match Info

Date: 3 July 2021, Saturday


	Villa Española		Montevideo City Torque

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.4	1.6	Watch
	4.5	3.4	1.7
	5.3	3.3	1.57
	5	3.5	1.62
	5.65	3.71	1.69
	5	3.4	1.65
	5.1	3.7	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.19 ↑ (4.89)	3.49 ↑ (3.48)	1.64 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Española
17.7%

Draw
26.3%

Montevideo City Torque
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

26.8%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

21.6%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Montevideo City Torque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Española than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montevideo City Torque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Villa Española - Montevideo City Torque Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 7).

Villa Española is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Montevideo City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Villa Española could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Montevideo City is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Villa Española won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Villa Española won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Villa Española
Uruguayan Primera Division
26.06.21	Peñarol de Montevideo - Villa Española	1:1 ✺
23.06.21	Villa Española - Rentistas	0:1 ✺
19.06.21	Montevideo Wanderers - Villa Española	3:0 ✺
14.06.21	Villa Española - Boston River	2:2 ✺
07.06.21	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Villa Española	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLLTL
- Montevideo City Torque
Uruguayan Primera Division
28.06.21	Montevideo City Torque - Deportivo Maldonado	2:3 ✺
23.06.21	Montevideo City Torque - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1 ✺
18.06.21	Rentistas - Montevideo City Torque	0:2 ✺
11.06.21	Montevideo City Torque - Montevideo Wanderers	2:1 ✺
06.06.21	Boston River - Montevideo City Torque	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
21.09.19	Villa Española - Montevideo City Torque	0:1

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