Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 3

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Montevideo)

Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Montevideo City Torque		Montevideo Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.10	3.70	Watch
	1.98	3.30	3.40
	2.00	3.20	3.45
	2.06	3.42	3.82
	2.02	3.36	3.7	Watch
	2.01	3.40	3.75
	1.99	3.25	3.87	Watch
	2.03	3.30	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.94)	3.29 ↓ (3.29)	3.66 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevideo City Torque
46.4%

Draw
28.2%

Montevideo Wanderers
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

27.9%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

26.8%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevideo City Torque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Montevideo Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Montevideo City Torque - Montevideo Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Torgnascioli F. (G) 17. Aguero E. 3. Silva K. 24. Kagelmacher G. (C) 26. Silvera F. 7. Andrade L. 8. Siles P. 20. Montes G. 10. Obregon E. 9. Rodriguez S. 18. Lecchini R.	33. Buffa A. (G) 31. Furtado N. 13. Formiliano F. (C) 2. Cabral N. 6. Zazpe L. 16. Alberti J. 21. Benitez S. 5. Queiroz N. 10. Cosentino L. 24. Zeballos J. 26. Sanchez R.
Substitutes
15. Busquets E. 32. Caceres S. 11. Da Silva N. 23. Dure L. 22. Gutierrez B. 30. Quintana J. 13. Rodriguez G. (G) 31. Shaw T. 27. Taran J. 14. Zampieri S.	14. Acosta M. 3. Borthagaray G. 25. Freitas G. 17. Garcia A. 20. Guzman S. 11. Luna J. 8. Oriol S. 9. Ormeno S. 12. Rio J. (G) 80. Urretaviscaya J.
Coaches
Mendez M.	Corujo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', Siles P. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Obregon E. ⚽,
35', Caceres S. 🟨,
39', Torgnascioli F. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
43', 2 - 0, Obregon E. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Alberti J. ↓, Urretaviscaya J. ↑,
46', Sanchez R. ↓, Luna J. ↑,
48', 2 - 1, Queiroz N. ⚽,
54', 3 - 1, Andrade L. ⚽,
63', Cabral N. 🟨,
65', Furtado N. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
65', Benitez S. ↓, Freitas G. ↑,
73', Zeballos J. ↓, Ormeno S. ↑,
74', 4 - 1, Montes G. ⚽,
76', Silva K. ↓, Da Silva N. ↑,
76', Lecchini R. ↓, Quintana J. ↑,
82', Siles P. ↓, Taran J. ↑,
82', Obregon E. ↓, Dure L. ↑,
83', 5 - 1, Dure L. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montevideo City won 1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Montevideo City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Wanderers has had a series of away games.

Montevideo City could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Montevideo City won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:19. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Montevideo City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.1:1.4).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Montevideo City	9	6	1	2	19:10	9	19
6	Wanderers	9	4	3	2	12:11	1	15

Last Results with these Odds

Montevideo City Torque - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 47.33%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevideo City Torque
Copa Sudamericana
19.08.26	Montevideo City Torque - Tigre	2:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
15.08.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Montevideo City Torque	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
12.08.26	Tigre - Montevideo City Torque	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
31.07.26	Montevideo City Torque - Montevideo Wanderers	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Montevideo City Torque - Danubio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWWLW
- Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division
15.08.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro Largo	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	Defensor Sporting - Montevideo Wanderers	0:1 ✺
05.08.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	5:1 ✺
31.07.26	Montevideo City Torque - Montevideo Wanderers	0:2 ✺
17.07.26	Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
31.07.26	Montevideo City Torque - Montevideo Wanderers	0:2
22.02.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Montevideo City Torque	0:4
12.10.25	Montevideo City Torque - Montevideo Wanderers	2:2
12.04.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Montevideo City Torque	0:0
01.09.23	Montevideo Wanderers - Montevideo City Torque	2:1
16.07.23	Montevideo Wanderers - Montevideo City Torque	1:1
20.02.23	Montevideo City Torque - Montevideo Wanderers	0:1

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