Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 2

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Fortin (Bahía Blanca)


	Villa Mitre		Ciudad de Bolívar

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	3.9
	1.82	3.15	4.05	Watch
	1.81	2.91	4.46
	5.73	2.72	1.88	Watch
	1.83	2.99	4.6
	1.85	3.19	4.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (1.92)	3.01 ↓ (3.1)	3.83 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Mitre
40.4%

Draw
33.3%

Ciudad de Bolívar
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

29.1%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

30.1%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villa Mitre's form might have worsened.

Ciudad de Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villa Mitre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (-3%)

Villa Mitre - Ciudad de Bolívar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Villa Mitre (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Molini L. (G) 5. Cavagnero N. 4. Cepeda G. 9. Cerato L. 10. Gonzalez E. 3. Ihitz N. 11. Lopez M. 2. Manchafico V. 8. Mujica P. 7. Peralta M. 6. Zadel D.	1. Laborda G. (G) 9. Caraballo K. 11. Diaz A. 7. Duarte B. 10. Gonzalez A. 3. Lapetina L. 6. Martinez E. 2. Navarro E. 4. Paredes A. 8. Perez R. 5. Quintana B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽,
24', 🟨,
24', 🟨,
25', 🟨,
28', 🟨,
28', 🟨,
32', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 🟨,
78', 0 - 2, Navarro E. ⚽,
89', 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Villa Mitre has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ciudad de Bolívar is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ciudad de Bolívar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Villa Mitre is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa Mitre won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Villa Mitre won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.07.25	Costa Brava - Villa Mitre	1:0 ✺
11.07.25	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Villa Mitre	0:0 ✺
06.07.25	Villa Mitre - Círculo Deportivo	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	Villa Mitre - Deportivo Rincón	1:0 ✺
21.06.25	Guillermo Brown - Villa Mitre	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTWWL
- Club Ciudad de Bolívar
Argentinian Torneo Federal
19.07.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - Deportivo Rincón	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - Argentino Monte Maíz	4:1 ✺
06.07.25	San Martín de Mendoza - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - Juventud Unida Universitario	1:0 ✺
22.06.25	Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.07.24	Villa Mitre - Ciudad de Bolívar	2:1
20.07.22	Ciudad de Bolívar - Villa Mitre	1:2
09.04.22	Villa Mitre - Ciudad de Bolívar	2:1
03.10.21	Villa Mitre - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0
07.07.21	Ciudad de Bolívar - Villa Mitre	2:2

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