The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villa Mitre 60.2%
Draw 27.4%
Costa Brava 12.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.9%
29.6%
18.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52%
29.7%
18.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa Mitre's performance.
Costa Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Costa Brava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa Mitre that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Costa Brava than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Costa Brava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Villa Mitre - Costa Brava Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Villa Mitre (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Villa Mitre (2.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Villa Mitre (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mazza J. P. (G) 8. Aguirre M. 2. Almada J. 6. Bacigalupe S. 5. Cavagnero N. 11. Escobar M. 9. Ibarra T. 7. Monti L. 10. Paez M. 4. Perez T. 3. Pinto M.
1. Silva L. (G) 2. Aguero P. 6. Alferez B. 5. Alles A. 4. Garoni J. 11. Gomez T. 9. Gutierrez L. 10. Ibarra L. 3. Pacheco N. 8. Rivas M. 7. Vivani J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Perez T. ↓, Valencia C. ↑,
45+1', Aguero P. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
84', 1 - 0, Ibarra T. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 1-1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
The betting markets point to Villa Mitre as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Villa Mitre has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2 (averaging 0.5:1 goals per game).