Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Fortin (Bahía Blanca)


	Villa Mitre		Kimberley de Mar del Plata

	1	X	2
	1.68	2.95	5.25
	1.75	2.92	4.7	Watch
	1.79	3.09	4.71
	1.75	3.08	5.23	Watch
	1.76	2.9	4.65
	1.94	3.05	4.41
	1.75	3.05	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.82)	3.01 ↑ (2.95)	4.76 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Mitre
50.9%

Draw
30.1%

Kimberley de Mar del Plata
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

30.4%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

31.8%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Kimberley de Mar del Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kimberley de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Villa Mitre - Kimberley de Mar del Plata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mazza J. P. (G) 5. Aguirre M. 2. Almada J. 10. Ayala V. 6. Bacigalupe S. 4. Escobar M. 9. Gomez S. 7. Monti L. 8. Perez T. 3. Pinto M. 11. Tunessi M.	1. Baez N. (G) 6. Aquino A. 5. De Gaetani A. 4. Loscalso T. 3. Manas F. 10. Miori M. 9. Rios R. 11. Russo F. 8. Tello L. 7. Ullua E. 2. Vazquez A.
Substitutes
12. Alcaraz M. (G) 15. Cavagnero N. 17. Cordoba G. G. 13. Olguin U. 18. Paez M. 14. Silva H. 20. Tarasco R. 19. Valencia C. 16. Valeri V.	12. Aguayo D. (G) 20. Castillo S. 15. Chavez S. 13. Masino M. 19. Perez L. 18. Santillan J. 14. Sosa H. 16. Veron L. 17. Zarate J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', 🟨,
35', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 7th in the Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Playoffs and 6th in the Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Playoffs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa Mitre won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Villa Mitre carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Villa Mitre has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:4 (averaging 0.1:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Villa Mitre against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals (averaging 0.3:0 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
13.09.26	Argentino Monte Maíz - Villa Mitre	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Villa Mitre - Huracán Las Heras	3:0 ✺
21.08.26	Juventud Antoniana - Villa Mitre	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Villa Mitre - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
12.08.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Villa Mitre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWTTL
- CA Kimberley de Mar del Plata
Argentinian Torneo Federal
13.09.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Huracán Las Heras	0:0 ✺
04.09.26	Juventud Antoniana - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Alvarado	0:2 ✺
23.08.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Cipolletti	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
25.05.26	Villa Mitre - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:0
22.03.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Villa Mitre	1:0
30.08.25	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Villa Mitre	0:0
11.07.25	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Villa Mitre	0:0
11.05.25	Villa Mitre - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	1:0
21.07.24	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Villa Mitre	2:0
15.06.24	Villa Mitre - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:0

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