The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villa Mitre 53.6%
Draw 29.8%
Huracán Las Heras 16.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.6%
27.1%
16.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.3%
25.9%
15.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Huracán Las Heras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villa Mitre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Las Heras than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Villa Mitre - Huracán Las Heras Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mazza J. P. (G) 5. Aguirre M. 2. Almada J. 10. Ayala V. 6. Bacigalupe S. 4. Escobar M. 9. Ibarra T. 7. Monti L. 3. Olguin U. 8. Perez T. 11. Pinto M.
1. Aguero F. (G) 11. Algozino L. 2. Alvacete J. 6. Arciero R. 10. Bogado E. 9. Bonet J. 4. Coceres G. 7. Lucero J. 3. Montenegro E. 5. Sandoval N. 8. Ubeda S.
Substitutes
12. Alcaraz M. (G) 16. Cordoba G. G. 20. Gomez S. 19. Monteverde J. 15. Paez M. 13. Silva H. 17. Tunessi M. 18. Valencia C. 14. Valeri V.
13. Alessandrini A. 15. Dieli M. 18. Gonzalez I. 19. Leiva E. 12. Pacheco R. (G) 20. Rodriguez M. 17. Romero F. 16. Sosa M. 14. Ulloa C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Bacigalupe S. (Penalty Awarded),
19', 🟨,
29', 2 - 0, Monti L. ⚽,
42', 3 - 0, Ibarra T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa Mitre won 1.
Villa Mitre has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Huracán Las Heras is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Huracán Las Heras may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Villa Mitre is the team to beat.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Villa Mitre won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Villa Mitre won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
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Mazza J. P. (G) 
Sandoval N. 
Valencia C. 
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