Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 5

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena (Salta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Juventud Antoniana		Villa Mitre

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.70	4.00
	1.97	2.85	3.85
	1.93	2.75	4.33
	1.99	2.86	4.27	Watch
	1.95	2.65	3.90
	2.06	2.95	4.11
	1.95	2.75	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.97)	2.79 ↓ (2.85)	4.04 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud Antoniana
45.5%

Draw
32.3%

Villa Mitre
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

31.4%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

30.1%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud Antoniana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Villa Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud Antoniana than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Villa Mitre aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Juventud Antoniana - Villa Mitre Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Juventud Antoniana will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Abraham F. (G) 10. Esparza M. 2. Fernandez F. 4. Gomez N. 5. Iturrieta J. 11. Marchiori T. 7. Mune P. 9. Palacios Alvarenga P. 8. Palacios J. 6. Sanabria I. 3. Taborda G.	1. Mazza J. P. (G) 2. Almada J. 11. Ayala V. 6. Bacigalupe S. 8. Battigelli A. 5. Cavagnero N. 4. Escobar M. 9. Ibarra T. 7. Monti L. 3. Olguin U. 10. Valencia C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Fernandez F. 🟨,
45', Esparza M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Iturrieta J. ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
52', Marchiori T. ↓, Assennato T. ↑,
52', Taborda G. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
56', Valencia C. ↓, Tunessi M. ↑,
59', Ayala V. 🟨,
72', Bacigalupe S. 🟨,
76', Ibarra T. ↓, Cordoba G. G. ↑,
76', Cavagnero N. ↓, Aguirre M. ↑,
83', Gomez N. ↓, Costilla A. ↑,
83', Palacios ↓, Gonzalez N. ↑,
88', Ayala V. ↓, Pinto M. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Juventud Antoniana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Juventud Antoniana is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Juventud Antoniana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Including home match between the teams, Juventud Antoniana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud Antoniana
Argentinian Torneo Federal
16.08.26	Huracán Las Heras - Juventud Antoniana	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Juventud Antoniana - Alvarado	0:2 ✺
02.08.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Juventud Antoniana	0:0 ✺
26.07.26	Boca Unidos - Juventud Antoniana	0:3 ✺
12.07.26	Juventud Antoniana - Tucuman Central	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLTWW
- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
16.08.26	Villa Mitre - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
12.08.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Villa Mitre	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Villa Mitre - Cipolletti	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Atenas Río Cuarto - Villa Mitre	0:1 ✺
26.07.26	Sol de Mayo - Villa Mitre	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLTWT

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