Match Info

ARGENTINA: TORNEO FEDERAL - PROMOTION - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 29 October 2022, Saturday


	Villa Mitre		General San Martín de Formosa

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.2	5
	1.65	3.15	5.2
	1.65	3.25	5.2
	1.53	3.31	6.42
	1.66	3.44	4.85
	1.68	3.35	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 (1.64)	3.28 ↑ (3.19)	5.35 ↓ (5.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Mitre
55.4%

Draw
27.6%

General San Martín de Formosa
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

28.2%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

27%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

General San Martín de Formosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Villa Mitre - General San Martín de Formosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Villa Mitre is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches San Martín de Formosa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Villa Mitre is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
23.10.22	Villa Mitre - Sportivo Belgrano	4:0 ✺
15.10.22	Villa Mitre - Sportivo Peñarol	3:0 ✺
09.10.22	Ferro Gen.Pico - Villa Mitre	1:1 ✺
02.10.22	Villa Mitre - Juventud Unida Universitario	2:1 ✺
24.09.22	CA Liniers - Villa Mitre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTWL
- General San Martín de Formosa
Argentinian Torneo Federal
23.10.22	General San Martín de Formosa - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	2:1 penalties ✺
16.10.22	Douglas Haig - General San Martín de Formosa	1:1 ✺
09.10.22	General San Martín de Formosa - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:0 ✺
03.10.22	Sportivo Belgrano - General San Martín de Formosa	2:1 ✺
25.09.22	General San Martín de Formosa - Racing de Córdoba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWLT

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