Match Info

ARGENTINA: TORNEO FEDERAL - ROUND 28

Date: 3 September 2023, Sunday


	CA Liniers		Villa Mitre

	1	X	2
	4.25	3.2	1.75
	4.76	3.11	1.85
	4.5	3.2	1.73
	4.55	3.25	1.79
	4.5	3.25	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.51 ↓ (4.59)	3.2 ↑ (3.19)	1.78 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CA Liniers
20.2%

Draw
28.5%

Villa Mitre
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

28.8%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

28.3%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CA Liniers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for Villa Mitre have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CA Liniers than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

CA Liniers - Villa Mitre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

CA Liniers has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Villa Mitre is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villa Mitre could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Villa Mitre is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches CA Liniers won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams CA Liniers won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Liniers
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.08.23	CA Liniers - Sansinena	0:1 ✺
06.08.23	Círculo Deportivo - CA Liniers	0:0 ✺
02.08.23	CA Liniers - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:3 ✺
29.07.23	Sol de Mayo - CA Liniers	3:0 ✺
22.07.23	CA Liniers - Germinal	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTLLL
- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
27.08.23	Sansinena - Villa Mitre	2:4 ✺
Copa Argentina
23.08.23	Villa Mitre - Chaco For Ever	0:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Torneo Federal
18.08.23	Villa Mitre - Círculo Deportivo	1:1 ✺
06.08.23	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Villa Mitre	3:2 ✺
02.08.23	Villa Mitre - Sol de Mayo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
02.07.23	Villa Mitre - CA Liniers	4:1
13.05.23	CA Liniers - Villa Mitre	0:0
11.03.23	Villa Mitre - CA Liniers	0:0
24.09.22	CA Liniers - Villa Mitre	2:0
17.06.22	Villa Mitre - CA Liniers	0:1

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