Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 6

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)


	Alvarado		Villa Mitre

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.62	3.1
	2.49	2.54	3.19
	2.56	2.65	3.31	Watch
	2.5	2.5	3.1
	2.49	2.55	3.25
	2.05	2.75	3.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (1.95)	2.6 ↓ (2.75)	3.31 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvarado
37.5%

Draw
35%

Villa Mitre
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

32.8%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alvarado's form might have worsened.

Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villa Mitre's recent form is better than expected.

Alvarado - Villa Mitre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bilbao E. (C) 6. Berra T. 4. Centurion F. 9. Cervera G. 8. Chiozza L. 10. Federico T. 3. Fernandez L. 2. Fernandez T. 11. Gutierrez S. 5. Mansilla M. 7. Miori M.	1. Mazza J. P. (G) 2. Almada J. 6. Bacigalupe S. 5. Battigelli A. 11. Fernandez L. 8. Monti L. 7. Mujica P. 3. Pinto M. 4. Silva H. 9. Tunessi M. 10. Valeri V.
Substitutes
17. Castellano A. 14. Hofstetter P. J. 16. Makarte R. 13. Nunez L. 19. Perez M. 20. Pinoni F. 15. Sosa G. 18. Speck N. 12. Zapata A. (G)	16. Aguirre M. 12. Alcaraz M. (G) 20. Ayala V. 15. Escobar M. 18. Gomez S. 19. Ibarra 14. Olguin U. 17. Perez T. 13. Segalerba G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Cervera G. ↓, Speck N. ↑,
58', Miori M. ↓, Sosa G. ↑,
62', Fernandez L. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
65', Tunessi M. ↓, Ibarra T. ↑,
67', 0 - 1, Almada J. ⚽,
71', Federico T. ↓, Makarte R. ↑,
71', Centurion F. ↓, Castellano A. ↑,
79', Monti L. ↓, Escobar M. ↑,
79', Valeri V. ↓, Perez T. ↑,
79', Mujica P. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
84', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Gutierrez S. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 7 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 1.

Alvarado has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Villa Mitre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Alvarado could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Alvarado won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Torneo Federal
18.04.26	Círculo Deportivo - Alvarado	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Alvarado - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Sol de Mayo - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Alvarado - Guillermo Brown	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Alvarado	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTTWL
- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
19.04.26	Villa Mitre - Santamarina de Tandil	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Germinal - Villa Mitre	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Villa Mitre - Círculo Deportivo	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Villa Mitre	1:0 ✺
13.10.25	Villa Mitre - Guillermo Brown	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.03.19	Alvarado - Villa Mitre	1:1
07.11.18	Villa Mitre - Alvarado	1:1
18.09.18	Alvarado - Villa Mitre	2:2
11.02.18	Alvarado - Villa Mitre	1:0
15.11.17	Villa Mitre - Alvarado	2:1
30.09.17	Alvarado - Villa Mitre	1:1
20.05.17	Villa Mitre - Alvarado	0:2

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