Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 4

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti (Bahía Blanca)


	Olimpo Bahia Blanca		Sol de Mayo

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.25	8.5	Watch
	1.29	4.49	8.96
	1.34	4.53	9.54	Watch
	1.3	4.33	9
	1.4	4.18	8.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.52)	4.36 ↑ (3.43)	8.92 ↑ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpo Bahia Blanca
68.8%

Draw
21%

Sol de Mayo
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

26.3%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpo Bahia Blanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpo Bahia Blanca's performance.

Sol de Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Sol de Mayo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lungarzo J. (G)
8. Amarilla C.
4. Chimino C.
7. Coacci E.
6. Ferreyra M. (C)
10. Guille B.
9. Ibarra C.
3. Lapetina L.
2. Moiraghi N.
11. Ramirez D.
5. Stancato A.
Substitutes
14. Bellone A. O.
20. Colmenares M.
15. Fernandez S.
12. Geist C. (G)
18. Hernandez A.
13. Hertel L.
17. Llanos S.
19. Olivera M.
16. Vargas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Areco G. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
24', 1 - 0, Amarilla C. ⚽,
38', Kucich M. 🟨,
45+3', Chimino C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', 🟨,
66', 🟨,
71', 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpo won 4.

Sol de Mayo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Olimpo is the clear favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Olimpo won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.5:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Olimpo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.04.26	Guillermo Brown - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
29.03.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Torneo Federal
22.03.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Alvarado	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Douglas Haig	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Douglas Haig - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWLL
- Club Sol de Mayo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.04.26	Sol de Mayo - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Santamarina de Tandil - Sol de Mayo	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Sol de Mayo - Germinal	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Sol de Mayo	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Sol de Mayo - General San Martín de Formosa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
18.05.25	Sol de Mayo - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:0
07.07.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Sol de Mayo	1:0
11.05.24	Sol de Mayo - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1
09.09.23	Sol de Mayo - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:2
08.07.23	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Sol de Mayo	2:0
17.05.23	Sol de Mayo - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	2:3
19.03.23	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Sol de Mayo	5:0

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