Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 7 March 2024, Thursday


	Villa Nova AC		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.2
	3	2.95	2.25
	3.3	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.34	3.1	2.35
	3.34	3.1	2.19
	3.2	3	2.2
	3.33	3.05	2.29
	3.1	3.1	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.73)	3.05 ↓ (3.16)	2.25 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Nova AC
28.8%

Draw
30.2%

Operário Ferroviario
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

28.9%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

29.3%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Nova AC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Nova AC than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villa Nova AC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Villa Nova AC - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Villa Nova is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Operário Ferroviario is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Operário Ferroviario have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villa Nova AC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
02.03.24	Democrata GV - Villa Nova AC	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
28.02.24	Villa Nova AC - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
24.02.24	Villa Nova AC - Tombense	0:3 ✺
18.02.24	América Mineiro - Villa Nova AC	0:0 ✺
14.02.24	Villa Nova AC - Athletic Club	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWLTL
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
03.03.24	Azuriz - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
28.02.24	Operário MS - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
25.02.24	Galo Maringá - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
18.02.24	Operário Ferroviario - FC Cascavel	1:1 ✺
15.02.24	Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTWTT

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