Match Info

Date: 12 October 2020, Monday


	Villa Teresa		Racing Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.8	2.55
	2.5	2.95	2.7
	2.55	2.85	2.75
	2.65	3.06	2.68
	2.62	3.08	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.24)	2.95 ↓ (3.03)	2.66 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Teresa
34.9%

Draw
30.9%

Racing Montevideo
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

30.8%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

22.4%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Teresa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villa Teresa's form might have worsened.

Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Racing Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Teresa than the current prediction. (+22.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villa Teresa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Racing Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Villa Teresa - Racing Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division (Play Offs) and 10).

Villa Teresa is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Racing is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Villa Teresa have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Villa Teresa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Villa Teresa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Villa Teresa
Uruguayan Segunda Division
09.10.20	Juventud de Las Piedras - Villa Teresa	0:0 ✺
02.10.20	Sud América - Villa Teresa	1:3 ✺
28.09.20	Rampla Juniors - Villa Teresa	1:2 ✺
22.09.20	Villa Teresa - Central Español	2:1 ✺
18.09.20	Atenas de San Carlos - Villa Teresa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 TWWWL
- Racing Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
09.10.20	Racing Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	0:0 ✺
03.10.20	Racing Montevideo - Central Español	0:1 ✺
29.09.20	Atenas de San Carlos - Racing Montevideo	2:0 ✺
21.09.20	Racing Montevideo - Villa Española	2:3 ✺
18.09.20	Rocha - Racing Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
17.08.20	Racing Montevideo - Villa Teresa	2:2
Uruguayan Primera Division
28.04.16	Racing Montevideo - Villa Teresa	2:3
25.10.15	Villa Teresa - Racing Montevideo	1:2

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