Match Info

URUGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 16 October 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Varela E. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
Uruguay	VTV+
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+, Fanatiz


	Racing Montevideo		Rampla Juniors

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.2	5	Watch
	1.73	3.3	4.5
	1.78	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.8	3.46	5.05
	1.84	3.35	4.49	Watch
	1.7	3.4	4.6
	1.77	3.42	4.69	Watch
	1.78	3.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.76)	3.37 ↓ (3.47)	4.67 ↑ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

Watch this match and Uruguayan Primera Division with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: GolTV (English)

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Current Win Probability

Racing Montevideo
52.5%

Draw
27.6%

Rampla Juniors
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

26.6%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

26.7%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Rampla Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Racing Montevideo aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rampla Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	36.4%	9.1%

Racing Montevideo - Rampla Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Rampla Juniors will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Odriozola R. (G) 4. Cotugno G. 2. Magallanes H. 17. Ferreira M. 34. Pereira A. 7. Varela J. (C) 21. Rodriguez L. 32. Espinosa Dovat T. N. 20. Urretaviscaya J. 9. Nandin D. 18. Alaniz A.	1. Samurio A. (G) 17. Barrandeguy F. 32. Arismendi D. (C) 30. Madruga A. 33. Camargo G. 28. Casuriaga F. 18. Adoryan T. 15. Plada J. 24. Bassadone L. 7. Rinaldi L. 10. Mezquida N.
Substitutes
11. Andrada F. 1. Bacchia R. (G) 15. Caceres M. 16. Da Silva E. 8. Gorocito L. 29. Hernandez A. 35. Hernandez M. 33. Peralta G. 10. Rivero J. . Teliz R.	16. Almeida E. 29. Alvarez A. 3. Centurion L. 22. Dibble N. 23. Etcheverry J. E. 11. Machado G. 5. Mendez I. 6. Ospitaleche F. 14. Rosa D. 12. Segovia L. (G)
Coaches
Espinel E.	Martinez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Rinaldi L. (Pen),
23', Rinaldi L. 🟨,
24', 1 - 1, Nandin D. (Pen),
43', Madruga A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Casuriaga F. ↓, Mendez I. ↑,
46', Mezquida N. ↓, Almeida E. ↑,
46', Madruga A. ↓, Centurion L. ↑,
53', Martinez E. 🟨,
57', Centurion L. 🟨,
62', 2 - 1, Espinosa Dovat T. N. ⚽, Nandin D. (A),
63', Camargo G. 🟨,
70', Bassadone L. ↓, Dibble N. ↑,
73', Plada J. ↓, Machado G. ↑,
74', Urretaviscaya J. ↓, Rivero J. ↑,
81', Ferreira M. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
82', Alaniz A. ↓, Andrada F. ↑,
83', Arismendi D. 🟨,
90+2', Espinosa Dovat T. N. ↓, Da Silva E. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Racing won 4.

Racing is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Rampla Juniors is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Racing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Racing is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Racing won 10 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:23 (average 1.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Racing won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:12 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.10.24	Miramar Misiones - Racing Montevideo	2:2 ✺
05.10.24	Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo	0:0 ✺
30.09.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Racing Montevideo - Progreso	1:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
18.09.24	Bristol de Mercedes - Racing Montevideo	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TTTWW
- Rampla Juniors
Uruguayan Primera Division
12.10.24	Rampla Juniors - Cerro	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Miramar Misiones - Rampla Juniors	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Rampla Juniors - Cerro Largo	2:0 ✺
14.09.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
14.04.24	Rampla Juniors - Racing Montevideo	0:1
Uruguayan Segunda Division
07.08.22	Rampla Juniors - Racing Montevideo	1:0
15.05.22	Racing Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:0
25.03.22	Racing Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	2:0
21.09.21	Racing Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	2:0
10.06.21	Rampla Juniors - Racing Montevideo	2:2
09.12.20	Rampla Juniors - Racing Montevideo	3:0

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