Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 34

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday


	Villa Valle		Alcione

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.55
	2.3	3.5	2.5
	2.55	2.73	2.89
	2.35	3.32	2.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.68)	3.14 ↓ (3.28)	2.68 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Valle
37.4%

Draw
28.9%

Alcione
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

26.9%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

25.7%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcione might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Valle than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa Valle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcione could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Villa Valle - Alcione Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alcione will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).

Villa Valle is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alcione is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Villa Valle won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Villa Valle
Italian Serie D - Group B
30.04.23	Casatese - Villa Valle	1:1 ✺
23.04.23	Villa Valle - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	2:1 ✺
16.04.23	Lumezzane - Villa Valle	2:1 ✺
06.04.23	Villa Valle - Franciacorta	0:1 ✺
02.04.23	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Villa Valle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWLLL
- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie D - Group B
30.04.23	Alcione - Arconatese	3:1 ✺
23.04.23	Breno - Alcione	1:4 ✺
16.04.23	Alcione - Real Calepina	3:2 ✺
06.04.23	Desenzano Calvina - Alcione	1:1 ✺
02.04.23	Alcione - Seregno	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
21.12.22	Alcione - Villa Valle	1:1

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